CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5430e181d2bfbce860df22cf466042534c62e6811f48c8fdfe4e556c4fd0087
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 50c | 1,314$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.61 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Walczaki | 2c | 1,256$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed Walczaki | 59c | 1,157$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.45 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga | 52c | 878.88$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.6 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Walczaki | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Nemiga | 55c | 753.63$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.13 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…396dbacked Nemiga | 45c | 689.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Walczaki | 48c | 686.88$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.7 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Walczaki | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Walczaki | 48c | 387.5$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.72 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nemiga | 37c | 373.3$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.85 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Walczaki | 45c | 358.44$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Walczaki | 52c | 337.31$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed Nemiga | 75c | 331.65$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Walczaki | 61c | 325.62$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.29 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 53c | 224.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Nemiga | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Walczaki | 67c | 170.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Walczaki | 55c | 160.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Nemiga | 58c | 151.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Nemiga | 60c | 144.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Nemiga | 55c | 142.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked Nemiga | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13f…343fbacked Nemiga | 74c | 130.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Walczaki | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Nemiga | 60c | 92.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Walczaki | 55c | 88.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Nemiga | 52c | 87.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…fb93backed Nemiga | 55c | 86.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 51c | 78.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Nemiga | 58c | 65.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Walczaki | 61c | 59.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Nemiga | 56c | 57.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Nemiga | 47c | 54.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 48c | 54.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed Walczaki | 50c | 52.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Walczaki | 52c | 49.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Walczaki | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…37a2backed Nemiga | 59c | 39.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Walczaki | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Walczaki | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Nemiga | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga | 47c | 24.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cc…dd18backed Nemiga | 55c | 21.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Walczaki | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.