CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd20eda89b00e07f660bcc74dab466ddfe3611104fe1a4d3010c8d5a5d9f788f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Nemiga, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Walczaki | 61c | 1,490$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.1 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Walczaki | 41c | 1,166$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.51 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Walczaki | 36c | 980.35$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.42 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Nemiga | 23c | 939.27$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Nemiga | 67c | 825.79$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.81 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…180ebacked Walczaki | 49c | 816.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nemiga | 50c | 805.26$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.56 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Walczaki | 41c | 798.19$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.93 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Nemiga | 61c | 612.44$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.29 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nemiga | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…b339backed Nemiga | 20c | 497.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga | 59c | 473.47$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.35 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Walczaki | 35c | 405.97$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.88 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Nemiga | 65c | 385.89$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.83 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Nemiga | 24c | 327.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Nemiga | 30c | 255.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Nemiga | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Nemiga | 33c | 190$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Walczaki | 38c | 128.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Nemiga | 36c | 126$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Walczaki | 40c | 118$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Nemiga | 35c | 115.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed Walczaki | 77c | 110.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Walczaki | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…fd19backed Walczaki | 65c | 75.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 58c | 75.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 62c | 71.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Nemiga | 48c | 69.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Nemiga | 63c | 66.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga | 58c | 64.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed Walczaki | 48c | 60.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nemiga | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Nemiga | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 61c | 41.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Walczaki | 60c | 32.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa13a…4bafbacked Walczaki | 76c | 30.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Walczaki | 51c | 25.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.