TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Texas Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$253,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,374 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers20c16,369$3,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,248.4210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Texas Rangers37c15,757$5,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,791.271,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates73c7,682$5,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.722,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers49c6,850$3,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,386.661,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates51c6,807$3,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,335.2411952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pittsburgh Pirates51c6,725$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.321,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Pittsburgh Pirates51c5,935$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,908.1216947.9%81 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates61c5,388$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.6248850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Texas Rangers2c5,098$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.391,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates63c4,829$3,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.431,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers42c4,607$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.659,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Texas Rangers22c4,320$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.3331039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Texas Rangers50c4,202$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.2489153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Pittsburgh Pirates53c3,979$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.072972.4%21 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers49c3,704$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.775,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Texas Rangers50c3,492$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74628944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Pittsburgh Pirates78c3,459$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.3747589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6b8f…449bbacked Texas Rangers57c3,418$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.44957.1%28 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates51c3,045$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates51c3,026$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.7325149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Pittsburgh Pirates51c2,957$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.1313254.5%72 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates51c2,844$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.6375248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df7…36c4backed Pittsburgh Pirates50c2,622$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.985152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Texas Rangers15c2,296$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.341,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62dd…0c1fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates31c2,219$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.22742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+97.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Texas Rangers49c2,037$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.2327451.8%142 W · 132 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbee…164ebacked Texas Rangers49c2,020$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…6ddebacked Pittsburgh Pirates50c1,970$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Texas Rangers49c1,970$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.9544451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Pittsburgh Pirates64c1,500$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.8511547%54 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Texas Rangers28c1,435$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.866536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Texas Rangers20c1,415$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.9123244%102 W · 130 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers26c1,345$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.581,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Texas Rangers24c1,313$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.881,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb5…b009backed Texas Rangers46c1,179$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.926445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates66c1,144$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Pittsburgh Pirates51c1,136$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.772,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates51c1,074$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.441,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Texas Rangers60c1,072$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pittsburgh Pirates73c1,067$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3652955.6%294 W · 235 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Texas Rangers17c1,058$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9115840.5%64 W · 94 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Texas Rangers18c1,055$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6620443.1%88 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c1,030$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.929948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates61c1,021$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.278,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas Rangers16c1,020$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7994034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates50c1,005$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Pittsburgh Pirates51c994.93$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.524060%24 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates70c963.33$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.5555464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Texas Rangers49c936$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.6475049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Texas Rangers20c917.32$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5213818.8%26 W · 112 L-17.2wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Texas Rangers49c906.07$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.4867444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Pittsburgh Pirates54c902.2$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41620350.2%102 W · 101 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Texas Rangers67c857.92$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.5980159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers49c755.34$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.126,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Texas Rangers36c749.92$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0939640.9%162 W · 234 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates63c743.51$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.296,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Pittsburgh Pirates71c726.51$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1488046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Texas Rangers49c709.86$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.8317452.9%92 W · 82 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Pittsburgh Pirates52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33650860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Texas Rangers30c675.74$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8612745.7%58 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Texas Rangers32c666.31$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.398643%37 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates51c652.24$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.646749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Texas Rangers48c635.74$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.1533852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates80c621.51$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0932166.4%213 W · 108 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Pittsburgh Pirates66c501.18$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.217354.9%95 W · 78 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Pittsburgh Pirates50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Texas Rangers9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4516019.4%31 W · 129 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Texas Rangers49c488.87$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5528244.7%126 W · 156 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Texas Rangers50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.543153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Texas Rangers50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.522548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Pittsburgh Pirates51c475.78$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1321856%122 W · 96 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb2b…e828backed Texas Rangers50c467.9$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.7616844%74 W · 94 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c440.52$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.482,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Pittsburgh Pirates67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13227231.3%85 W · 187 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Pittsburgh Pirates50c394$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1978451.2%43 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Texas Rangers42c392.91$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0252638.4%202 W · 324 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates71c392.33$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.851,14142.9%490 W · 651 L-37.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates51c392.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1421057.6%121 W · 89 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ac4…a601backed Texas Rangers50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1945341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers49c386.53$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.43,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e7…b4a1backed Pittsburgh Pirates51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.513743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Pittsburgh Pirates55c374.71$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.762,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Pittsburgh Pirates55c358.57$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.946465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Texas Rangers49c350$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.539850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates51c336.8$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0350751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64da…2292backed Texas Rangers59c330.16$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.59557.9%55 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas Rangers36c315.71$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.231,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51b…90a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates63c307.56$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1817152.6%90 W · 81 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Pittsburgh Pirates79c306.32$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2651555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Texas Rangers49c297.74$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8940348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Texas Rangers49c290.2$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.21,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Texas Rangers15c287.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.512,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates51c282.44$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.421653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Texas Rangers48c281.24$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Texas Rangers50c271.6$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.811448.2%55 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Texas Rangers50c269.58$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7121149.3%104 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Texas Rangers49c268.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.81,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pittsburgh Pirates75c263.43$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.461,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Pittsburgh Pirates36c262.57$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0416232.1%52 W · 110 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Texas Rangers37c259.95$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2214535.9%52 W · 93 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.