MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601ba9cf32a9640b6b812d91b42db0d10ad223e7ee5a3bb8a7e08013af71b701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Under | 64c | 25,932$16,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,591.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 36c | 11,100$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,103.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 36c | 5,814$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720.87 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 5,527$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 54c | 3,414$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.07 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Over | 45c | 3,078$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.63 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 3,047$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.42 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 45c | 1,868$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.16 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 55c | 1,867$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.46 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 46c | 1,789$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.17 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 54c | 1,555$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.66 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 61c | 1,253$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.51 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 45c | 1,078$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.32 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…a246backed Under | 55c | 916.03$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…cba3backed Under | 55c | 916.02$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 46c | 717.96$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.7 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 45c | 692.16$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.69 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Under | 4c | 650$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 55c | 637$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 46c | 620.91$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.78 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 586.13$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.73 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 36c | 562.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.72 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 546.33$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 55c | 505.07$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.79 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 493.08$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.85 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 46c | 490.57$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.91 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 58c | 462.81$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.47 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 36c | 342.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.09 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Under | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 45c | 307.51$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.13 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under | 59c | 293.68$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 46c | 274.21$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Over | 46c | 263.9$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 68c | 251.04$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Over | 41c | 243.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 46c | 210.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over | 45c | 205$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Over | 44c | 200.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 56c | 179.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 55c | 147$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 41c | 146.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 67c | 146.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 46c | 145.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 45c | 128$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 44c | 127.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 45c | 115.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 46c | 109.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Over | 46c | 91.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 50c | 87.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…76ccbacked Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 42c | 85.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 55c | 75.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 46c | 75.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4013backed Over | 46c | 74.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Over | 36c | 73.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 57c | 62.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 61.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Over | 37c | 61.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over | 45c | 61.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 46c | 58.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 45c | 58.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f93fbacked Over | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…6a34backed Under | 55c | 39.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Under | 57c | 38.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 45c | 38.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Over | 45c | 37.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 56c | 36.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 457 | 49%224 W · 233 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Over | 45c | 32.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Under | 55c | 28.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Under | 71c | 27.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 55c | 27.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 53c | 21.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Under | 57c | 21.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Under | 48c | 21.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 64c | 20.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas RangersPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.