TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Abidjan: Florent Bax vs Karan Singh

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florent Baxof Florent Bax, Karan Singh
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ce0…59d5backed Karan Singh0c18,801$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Karan Singh26c13,670$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,586.927,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karan Singh20c9,589$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.058,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Florent Bax79c5,570$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.737644.7%34 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Florent Bax76c5,314$4,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.3611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Florent Bax77c3,471$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.5829241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Karan Singh21c2,598$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.194,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Karan Singh20c1,684$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.342,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Florent Bax69c1,405$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.178,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Karan Singh32c1,090$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.7513450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Florent Bax70c1,072$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.961,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Karan Singh27c1,060$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.354345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Florent Bax77c1,029$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.6721767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Karan Singh22c1,001$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.191,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Karan Singh15c1,001$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.331028.8%9 W · 93 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cee…0d1ebacked Karan Singh19c968.57$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6118849.5%93 W · 95 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Karan Singh21c927.82$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.514,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Karan Singh21c850.59$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.576,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf402…ce7abacked Karan Singh17c841.08$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5316242.6%69 W · 93 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Karan Singh31c802.9$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.93464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+36.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Karan Singh19c620.62$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3397141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc118…54c2backed Karan Singh16c593.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.961030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+76.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Karan Singh33c585.08$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.931,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed Florent Bax67c549.66$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.393253.1%17 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c55…7ef8backed Florent Bax66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Florent Bax59c495.97$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.356258.1%36 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Karan Singh34c480.2$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2729444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Karan Singh18c475.28$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6627931.9%89 W · 190 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Florent Bax68c412.92$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1347552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Florent Bax70c349.45$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.931,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Karan Singh30c300.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1530131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Florent Bax74c292.65$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.091,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Karan Singh33c287.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0232851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Florent Bax69c283.31$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8784963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d50…b75cbacked Florent Bax74c246.3$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.794141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Florent Bax78c241.76$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1960355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Florent Bax68c231.47$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.072661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Karan Singh19c231$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.776,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Karan Singh33c202.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5655241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed Karan Singh31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6212025.8%31 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0179…adcdbacked Florent Bax80c198.76$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.758562.4%53 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Karan Singh24c194.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.179,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Karan Singh21c189.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7634136.4%124 W · 217 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Karan Singh23c169.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.061,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a83…f94dbacked Florent Bax67c161.97$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.451662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Florent Bax68c160.83$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4713860.9%84 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Karan Singh12c157.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9427936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Karan Singh31c154.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9328255%155 W · 127 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Florent Bax77c152.63$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6795050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Karan Singh30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4586835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Karan Singh23c144.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.835,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Karan Singh24c143.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.481,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d96…f714backed Florent Bax67c141.96$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e7…c2f0backed Florent Bax63c139.39$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.963351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Florent Bax75c131.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9825957.1%148 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Karan Singh29c128.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.682,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed Florent Bax79c120$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.213850%69 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Florent Bax75c118.2$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5538860.6%235 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Karan Singh36c116.81$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4256754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Florent Bax68c115.14$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8519754.8%108 W · 89 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d1…664abacked Florent Bax76c114.02$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karan Singh31c112.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.947,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Karan Singh25c109.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7857953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Florent Bax67c109.02$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.986,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a8…cbeabacked Florent Bax69c105.48$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.688263.4%52 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Florent Bax66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345117.6%9 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-71.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Karan Singh30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012933.3%43 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Karan Singh21c96.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8989134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Karan Singh37c96.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.610246.1%47 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+51.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Karan Singh20c95.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.874346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Florent Bax68c95.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4481457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Florent Bax68c95.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4481255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Karan Singh25c94.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8973549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Karan Singh32c89.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.533,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Karan Singh44c87.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.661,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Karan Singh32c76.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5585748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Karan Singh25c76.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.115937.7%60 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed Karan Singh20c74.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.955633.9%19 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Florent Bax68c72.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0817859%105 W · 73 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Florent Bax60c70.14$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3463052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Karan Singh31c67.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7717460.3%105 W · 69 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f10…0cb9backed Florent Bax75c65.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.067263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Karan Singh32c65.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8339534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed Florent Bax76c63.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.274763.8%30 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed Karan Singh32c59.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.217848.9%87 W · 91 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Florent Bax78c59.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1391880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Florent Bax69c50.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7814161.7%87 W · 54 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Karan Singh33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.525745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Karan Singh34c48.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.332,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Karan Singh32c46.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8915948.4%77 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Florent Bax68c43.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Florent Bax72c41.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5337058.6%217 W · 153 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Karan Singh44c40.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7242344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Florent Bax56c37.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.597,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Florent Bax67c36.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0731463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf49f…98c8backed Florent Bax64c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Florent Bax78c31.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9628454.9%156 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Florent Bax78c31.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9643752.2%228 W · 209 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Florent Bax79c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5612070%84 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x305b…cd21backed Florent Bax68c28.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2355059.1%325 W · 225 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.