Other European Leagues · resolved market
Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbfa7fc4f6691bb42d088944429578e08ab46428e2af6d87b4a4a1eaafd66ab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 2,624$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.03 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 55c | 2,299$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.92 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 1,984$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.04 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,497$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 50c | 1,358$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 38c | 900.2$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.78 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Over | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 810.33$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.58 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 53c | 583.08$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.03 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Over | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Over | 10c | 426.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 407.09$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.27 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 300.09$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 271$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 271$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 47c | 265.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 254$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 236$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Over | 19c | 220$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 217.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 47c | 216.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…e5dabacked Over | 44c | 206.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 52c | 197.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…25afbacked Over | 53c | 191.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 54c | 180.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 55c | 169.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 45c | 160.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 151.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…0923backed Over | 53c | 137.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 17c | 134.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Over | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 47c | 104.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 99.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 97.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 33c | 79.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 45c | 73.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Under | 48c | 59.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…8d92backed Over | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…7687backed Over | 54c | 46.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 80c | 46.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 68c | 44.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 44c | 43.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…21a5backed Over | 52c | 32.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 45c | 28.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 54c | 28.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 64c | 28.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 47c | 27.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 25.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 22.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under | 47c | 22.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 47c | 22.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5this page
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)Moreirense FC won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-2.5)Moreirense FC won
- Spread: Moreirense FC (-1.5)Estoril Praia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.