Other European Leagues · resolved market
Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2ed4a23003e7aee22316c774222ea44b31e830beb61bcc37ac6e4ce9d5d0874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 36c | 13,214$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 11,771$6,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,779.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 9,222$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 47c | 6,485$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 55c | 4,540$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.91 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 2,853$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.48 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 47c | 2,576$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.76 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 36c | 1,575$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 1,057$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.94 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 20c | 953.34$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.7 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 890.21$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.37 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 65c | 826.35$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.13 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 36c | 798.94$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 47c | 779.84$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.58 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…c8e5backed Over | 50c | 576.51$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 9c | 438$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.58 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 54c | 415.68$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.36 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 32c | 383.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 22c | 380.09$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.47 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Under | 44c | 373.38$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Over | 37c | 366.51$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under | 72c | 338.65$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 45c | 319.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 305.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 287.22$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…6167backed Under | 15c | 273.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Over | 37c | 261.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Over | 37c | 232.04$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 47c | 206.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…e5dabacked Over | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Over | 42c | 188.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Over | 47c | 178.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 56c | 166.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 13c | 159.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 78c | 151.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 78c | 98.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…7d51backed Over | 36c | 83.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64c…f45ebacked Under | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +205.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 23c | 78.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 55c | 77.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 47c | 76.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 38c | 76.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc56…0b59backed Over | 78c | 76.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…bf04backed Over | 38c | 69.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 72c | 66.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 58c | 66.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…1b63backed Over | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 52c | 52.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 58c | 48.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Over | 45c | 47.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…43e6backed Over | 78c | 46.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Over | 29c | 43.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…d0ddbacked Over | 37c | 38.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Over | 31c | 37.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked Over | 40c | 37.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 68c | 36.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 73c | 31.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 36c | 29.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 64c | 22.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Under | 64c | 21.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Over | 78c | 16.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5this page
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)Moreirense FC won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-2.5)Moreirense FC won
- Spread: Moreirense FC (-1.5)Estoril Praia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.