Other European Leagues · resolved market
Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bc6f33b430da8683a87c61ef0b2a7b97628740f4d9261f021df06cbd3f4e9e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 1,263$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 455$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.67 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 57c | 341.79$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed Yes | 67c | 314.86$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 35c | 299.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 67c | 217.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 58c | 210.21$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 207.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 58c | 196.83$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 59c | 168.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Yes | 53c | 144.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Yes | 33c | 117.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Yes | 59c | 98.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 58c | 78.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 64.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 41c | 56.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 67c | 54.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…a1debacked Yes | 32c | 47.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 46.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yes | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 40c | 39.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 39c | 36.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 56c | 34.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2f…a285backed Yes | 59c | 33.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 59c | 33.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 42c | 30.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…2f38backed Yes | 35c | 28.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Yes | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 58c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 55c | 24.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 60c | 22.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)Moreirense FC won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-2.5)Moreirense FC won
- Spread: Moreirense FC (-1.5)Estoril Praia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.