Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22fdc62d2783ed392d041f1a42a19f4a7295fb34975e62a670f2578171f8f3cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Newcastle United Jets FCof Newcastle United Jets FC, Central Coast Mariners FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 61c | 3,000$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 45c | 1,932$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.61 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 11c | 1,855$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 48c | 1,627$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.73 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 58c | 1,498$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 38c | 1,487$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 59c | 1,175$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 46c | 744.59$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.51 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 63c | 741.72$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.74 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 41c | 596.9$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.41 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 56c | 312$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 77c | 287.71$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 54c | 284.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 47c | 273.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 53c | 259.34$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.32 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 57c | 258.08$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 54c | 223.65$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…f27abacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 45c | 208.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 55c | 180$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 55c | 157.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 78c | 138.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 41c | 127.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 41c | 127.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 41c | 127.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 28c | 127.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 54c | 110.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 57c | 73.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 57c | 68.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 42c | 58.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 62c | 56.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…5085backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 44c | 52.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 40c | 50.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 44c | 49.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 39c | 38.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 41c | 36.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x303a…7c84backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 44c | 36.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 54c | 35.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 45c | 34.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…a1ecbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…8e6bbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 44c | 26.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…aa62backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 44c | 25.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aaa…9f09backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 44c | 23.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 53c | 21.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 63c | 18.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)this page
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.