Australian A League · resolved market
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e884520a66028e1ccf071b0f125300aa04cc9e4a84c4af1166fa41942450e6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 58c | 1,176$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +206.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,091$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.5 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 667.89$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.12 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 581.21$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.66 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 45c | 424.22$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes | 69c | 328.56$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked No | 35c | 298.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 29c | 295.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 31c | 279.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.17 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Yes | 57c | 235.76$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 57c | 151.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Yes | 34c | 96.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 49c | 78.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Yes | 46c | 77.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 56.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 63c | 49.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 66c | 49.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 70c | 40.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 57c | 39.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbea…7777backed No | 50c | 38.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed No | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 68c | 34.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 33.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 50c | 33.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…8af6backed No | 37c | 28.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +191.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…91e5backed No | 45c | 25.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 47c | 21.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Yes | 66c | 18.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.