Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf321d99965f02b707fbb8d894ee5c9e1a5eda1075eac7ba8d29c37feb85e61d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Newcastle United Jets FCof Newcastle United Jets FC, Central Coast Mariners FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 49c | 886.41$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.08 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 32c | 317.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.13 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…5085backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 76c | 175.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 69c | 113.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 22c | 89.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 78c | 64.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…779fbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 77c | 61.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 20c | 57.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…a1ecbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 76c | 27.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 76c | 23.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 76c | 23.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 74c | 22.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…0438backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5a…669bbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 76c | 18.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…8e6bbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 76c | 17.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)this page
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.