CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24b41201f21e23ffe44546cffcc226e02b6592a1a9a09acc267bf63bae11adcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof RUSTEC, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked RUSTEC | 55c | 5,324$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.28 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 48c | 4,660$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked RUSTEC | 59c | 4,293$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.63 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 49c | 3,326$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.95 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed RUSTEC | 55c | 2,957$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.66 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Phantom | 41c | 2,558$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.45 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed RUSTEC | 50c | 2,486$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.36 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…7f92backed Phantom | 45c | 2,149$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed RUSTEC | 55c | 2,073$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.3 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Phantom | 41c | 2,026$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.14 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Phantom | 49c | 1,952$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.74 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed RUSTEC | 58c | 1,606$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.87 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked RUSTEC | 59c | 1,589$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.62 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Phantom | 43c | 1,193$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.36 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 56c | 1,025$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.08 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed RUSTEC | 60c | 970.92$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.36 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Phantom | 43c | 887.99$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.16 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed RUSTEC | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.1 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RUSTEC | 43c | 731.15$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed RUSTEC | 48c | 715.02$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.84 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Phantom | 41c | 699.97$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.45 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed RUSTEC | 46c | 649.26$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.99 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked RUSTEC | 44c | 625.33$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.15 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed RUSTEC | 56c | 496.63$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.13 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 45c | 485.83$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Phantom | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.62 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phantom | 38c | 450$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Phantom | 57c | 448.19$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.44 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Phantom | 41c | 445.9$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.08 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC | 60c | 423.69$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.47 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Phantom | 41c | 400$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom | 64c | 396.02$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.57 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 44c | 391.64$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Phantom | 45c | 386.8$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.74 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked RUSTEC | 52c | 374.87$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed RUSTEC | 42c | 359.69$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed RUSTEC | 56c | 339$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked RUSTEC | 53c | 326.08$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.38 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…21d7backed Phantom | 41c | 312.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed Phantom | 40c | 292.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Phantom | 41c | 250.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Phantom | 42c | 246.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.89 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked RUSTEC | 47c | 242.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Phantom | 70c | 241.4$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Phantom | 53c | 226.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed RUSTEC | 56c | 196.52$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…a386backed Phantom | 41c | 176.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Phantom | 45c | 165.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Phantom | 45c | 160.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked RUSTEC | 38c | 158.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…258fbacked RUSTEC | 61c | 148.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Phantom | 49c | 122.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked RUSTEC | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Phantom | 42c | 119.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Phantom | 45c | 102.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…cdfebacked Phantom | 43c | 101.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Phantom | 48c | 101.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed RUSTEC | 57c | 99.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Phantom | 38c | 97.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Phantom | 44c | 86.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e50…2e8ebacked RUSTEC | 58c | 85.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked RUSTEC | 51c | 69.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Phantom | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Phantom | 41c | 64.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Phantom | 62c | 63.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed RUSTEC | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked RUSTEC | 34c | 58.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom | 47c | 58.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked RUSTEC | 53c | 57.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Phantom | 59c | 56.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Phantom | 40c | 55.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed RUSTEC | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…059abacked RUSTEC | 51c | 48.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Phantom | 48c | 42.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed RUSTEC | 41c | 42.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Phantom | 59c | 41.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Phantom | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked RUSTEC | 57c | 40.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Phantom | 41c | 40.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Phantom | 41c | 40.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Phantom | 49c | 39.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed RUSTEC | 57c | 38.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed RUSTEC | 58c | 35.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed RUSTEC | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…c833backed Phantom | 43c | 33.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Phantom | 43c | 33.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Phantom | 39c | 32.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca6…5045backed Phantom | 51c | 32.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Phantom | 43c | 30.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Phantom | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed Phantom | 61c | 29.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked RUSTEC | 59c | 27.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Phantom | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Phantom | 58c | 20.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Map Handicap: RUST (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.