TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c14,243$9,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,010.191,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c12,902$7,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,927.3277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No50c9,939$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,969.661457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes40c7,376$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,398.941339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes37c4,951$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.3653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes34c4,309$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.99854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Yes42c3,875$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+81.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes37c3,795$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes39c3,324$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.83560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes29c3,084$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.7218967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c2,976$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.9397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes46c2,572$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.1152639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes39c2,276$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.691947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes21c2,264$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.5313518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes41c2,245$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.1623548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes33c2,237$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.673056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No66c2,145$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.511,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes41c2,064$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.8758043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No57c1,923$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.3578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes34c1,703$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.115056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No53c1,680$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.814761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No65c1,672$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.3999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No61c1,654$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.6917258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c1,606$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.9837649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes46c1,591$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.3122946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No62c1,567$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.437949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No62c1,541$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.64949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes36c1,373$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.134025%10 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes48c1,258$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.9617753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No61c1,200$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73212263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No68c1,116$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Yes51c1,005$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes31c1,000$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.627962%49 W · 30 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes18c999.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.991833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes39c988.1$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.7410043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes39c886.67$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.872133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No64c856.74$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.6835149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No61c819$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5921547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No64c748.67$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.1553046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No66c737.59$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.221,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No61c700$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42712661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No62c688.33$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.7610755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc679…0c3abacked No7c664.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes59c650.12$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.7515458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes38c649.98$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No64c642.27$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes58c603.04$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.8219052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No61c600$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36615858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes34c599.8$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.1110249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Yes33c581.75$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.79922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No62c522.98$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.613948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes44c509.06$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.742445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3409957.6%57 W · 42 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c494.86$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.283,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No64c465.67$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9920249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes51c456.53$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.8722263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes70c447.33$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.819073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No41c429.66$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1820252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes39c428.56$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.91566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes28c422.48$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.023479.4%27 W · 7 L+9.3wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+81.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes36c387.29$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8723643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No62c382.17$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9142…fd4bbacked Yes39c357.72$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes20c353.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.0630444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes24c341.43$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.986124.6%15 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes48c335.66$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.962259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+63.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No69c333.24$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9428851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c305.48$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No63c277.06$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8119560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No63c277.06$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8114151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf34…c356backed No62c274.74$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes33c273.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1210319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes37c260.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.83955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes39c247.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6910853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes39c247.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.691952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes16c229.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.319357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No55c224.81$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No62c220$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.43762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes48c208.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0519255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes74c202.86$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.122556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes36c200$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12213158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12216960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12214257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No61c197.32$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218568.2%58 W · 27 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No62c193.49$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes47c192$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9213464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed No24c190.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.811643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Yes52c187.11$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+168.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Yes53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.182958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No61c180$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.815060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No63c179.73$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.125851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes79c170.91$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4726346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes35c166.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.222142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No61c160$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.614459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No61c160$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.611759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No61c160$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.612162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No51c156.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.593231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed No48c154$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.922552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.