Mls · resolved market
Will St. Louis City SC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedcddc0234bb6e4dbfa82062654c91150bf830fb536bfdc44c14f81357efd651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 5,086$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.45 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 5,082$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.45 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 32c | 1,566$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.14 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 68c | 1,380$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.18 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 25c | 1,318$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.48 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 1,206$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.88 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 18c | 996.06$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.29 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 989.79$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.18 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 864.21$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.05 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 74c | 834$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.31 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 76c | 634.85$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 23c | 449.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 29c | 396.17$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 24c | 298.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 78c | 286.52$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 19c | 252.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +62%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 230$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 42c | 223.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 218.09$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 215.44$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 23c | 211.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 73c | 201.01$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 59c | 166.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 26c | 165.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 19c | 154.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 76c | 147.95$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 57c | 142.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 21c | 137.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 58c | 133.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 124.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 43c | 114.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…5c17backed Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 17c | 104.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed No | 76c | 103.37$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 77c | 102.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 100.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 23c | 96.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked Yes | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 26c | 95.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 24c | 83.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 66c | 73.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 34c | 68.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 35c | 66.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 63c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 52c | 63.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 61c | 63.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffc…aa13backed Yes | 24c | 60.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 77c | 54.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 54.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 21c | 54.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 24c | 54.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 76c | 51.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 47.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Yes | 24c | 47.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 47.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked No | 77c | 45.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 44.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 24c | 43.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 54c | 41.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 77c | 30.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 73c | 29.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…bbf6backed No | 77c | 28.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 73c | 26.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 77c | 24.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 76c | 20.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc679…0c3abacked No | 66c | 20.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 76c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 77c | 18.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 18.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 77c | 18.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 70c | 16.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 78c | 14.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St. Louis City SC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?this page
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.