South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c99eb3e17285d5eedf807f8ccee7d863537a023dc010a0e667165ab1d908494
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 71c | 507.56$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.43 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 36c | 299.81$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 24c | 258.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 76c | 190.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 188.94$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 28c | 99.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 99.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Over | 35c | 84.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 25c | 76.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 25c | 71.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Under | 41c | 58.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Under | 56c | 50.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 44c | 46.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 27c | 42.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…bcfebacked Under | 75c | 35.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Over | 40c | 33.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 44c | 33.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 39c | 28.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 44c | 27.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…8859backed Under | 79c | 24.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Under | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 74c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)CA Platense won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)CA Platense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.