South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c86aec2fc9cd7caca815206fd0d3ca0c37714e181c84f0dfd3e57b32cc543d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 56c | 9,472$5,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304.27 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 44c | 3,523$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.86 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,844$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 1,126$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.19 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 44c | 1,116$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 507.26$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.87 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 334.79$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.81 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 44c | 274.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 52c | 269.47$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 251.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 44c | 232.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Over | 49c | 216.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 37c | 195.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 192.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 44c | 181.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…8860backed Under | 44c | 102.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 48c | 86.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 57c | 85.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…9b4bbacked Under | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 44c | 66.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 44c | 60.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 44c | 60.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f3…5c66backed Under | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 53c | 51.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 44c | 48.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 44c | 48.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 44c | 48.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 44c | 48.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 48c | 41.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 53c | 40.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 26c | 38.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Over | 54c | 37.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 54c | 33.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 55c | 26.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…f44cbacked Under | 44c | 23.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4c…ffe2backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b8…f408backed Over | 58c | 18.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 80c | 13.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.77 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)CA Platense won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)CA Platense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.