TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$220,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c19,353$10,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,289.364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Under48c17,805$8,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,633.584252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c15,243$7,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,316.621,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Under46c14,989$6,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,821.773135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under19c11,582$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.392,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under25c11,250$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,833.083,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over55c10,000$5,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,504.5717553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under34c8,293$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.721,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c6,535$3,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.563,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over51c5,825$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.2232846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over51c5,280$2,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.112450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9943348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c4,789$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.142,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c4,522$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.572,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over55c4,015$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80717055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under25c4,002$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.321631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Under48c3,757$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.254949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over76c3,488$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.399950.5%50 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under13c3,044$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.091,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under48c2,736$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3075940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under30c2,611$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.4993145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under48c2,369$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.2614338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c2,147$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.174,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over62c2,011$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.6793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over53c2,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c1,965$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over67c1,958$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.771,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Over54c1,836$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.935347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…e838backed Over53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.991553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under5c1,623$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.281,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c1,409$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under9c1,406$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.83756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Over78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0527163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under36c1,277$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.5118235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Over53c1,250$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.54264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Under35c1,193$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41611043.6%48 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Over59c1,170$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.74257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over70c1,166$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.9942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under47c1,162$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.1416946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over51c1,152$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.046233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under46c1,100$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.9245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over63c1,059$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.9145445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over56c963.61$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.432,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c952.4$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.582,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over54c897.78$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.8214845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…bb1abacked Over54c860.32$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.422759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3f…ac90backed Over53c850$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.51936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over61c810$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.911242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over66c798.09$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.321,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over69c782.61$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.617146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4322…eadebacked Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.03728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick67cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67d0…db7abacked Over53c630$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.11637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa89…6cb6backed Over46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3242853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Over54c556.15$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.295253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c501.7$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.81,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24014355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2309652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Under34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507936.7%29 W · 50 L-9.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Over54c440.74$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.744438.6%17 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over53c401.48$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c400$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.82,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over64c395$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2127245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over53c335.85$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8518650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over53c335$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4524955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5587…5737backed Under45c330$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.55261.5%32 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c329.3$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e41…5932backed Under30c310.55$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.064751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under48c308.45$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0644740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14125657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c291.77$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.244,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over55c289.54$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5416147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked Over57c285.56$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.565457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.023366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Over54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.783748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over42c243.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6241449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Over54c240.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.747460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4225850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c225$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under45c224.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.141,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Under40c213.85$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.944553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2730…d178backed Over78c205.35$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.351741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under48c205$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.417052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9618445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Over53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9511850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9101…78ddbacked Over67c199.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under47c194.15$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2521147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under22c193.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.985036%18 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Under46c190.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.651346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over53c188.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7525360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.626345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over43c179.27$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.181,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…7690backed Over53c178.21$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.762556%14 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+83.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Under33c166.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4614153.9%76 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under46c159.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3723445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.