NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ea5af595baa8527218ad3830399ea90affcbaef276066abfc48dcc009b0f97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1333…e463backed Knicks | 47c | 44,531$20,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,601.54 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Hawks | 53c | 38,911$20,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,622.91 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Hawks | 54c | 11,099$5,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,962.47 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Knicks | 46c | 7,885$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.67 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Hawks | 47c | 7,644$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.67 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks | 55c | 6,959$3,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.28 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Knicks | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Hawks | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks | 47c | 4,964$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.06 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Hawks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Hawks | 53c | 2,804$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.02 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Hawks | 52c | 2,280$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.7 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Knicks | 53c | 1,763$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.61 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Hawks | 53c | 1,650$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.5 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks | 48c | 1,620$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.41 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Knicks | 47c | 1,374$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.22 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Knicks | 48c | 1,094$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.77 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Hawks | 53c | 990$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.7 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Hawks | 53c | 821.14$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.2 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Hawks | 52c | 786.65$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…1d66backed Knicks | 47c | 702.13$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Hawks | 53c | 641.5$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Hawks | 52c | 416.64$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.65 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Knicks | 48c | 406.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.29 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…cf44backed Knicks | 48c | 402.08$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Knicks | 47c | 329.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.79 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Hawks | 53c | 326.7$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.15 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Hawks | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Hawks | 53c | 275$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Knicks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Hawks | 52c | 200.03$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Hawks | 53c | 165$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Knicks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Hawks | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks | 49c | 97.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Hawks | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Knicks | 53c | 88.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Knicks | 53c | 88.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Knicks | 46c | 87.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Knicks | 55c | 81.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4013backed Hawks | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Knicks | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Knicks | 48c | 60.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…4037backed Hawks | 53c | 59.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Hawks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Knicks | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Hawks | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Hawks | 53c | 42.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Knicks | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Knicks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…e8ccbacked Knicks | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Knicks | 49c | 37.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Hawks | 53c | 30.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Hawks | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…e478backed Hawks | 53c | 27.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…380bbacked Hawks | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f4…16f3backed Knicks | 47c | 25.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…6a34backed Hawks | 53c | 19.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Hawks | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)this page
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Knicks vs. HawksKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.