South American Leagues · resolved market
Tigres de la UANL vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32acd46cbdf3441ac856d368107dd82b133675fee36e5d5bd67878284ac7f529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,066$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 577.23$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.9 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…20ebbacked Under | 70c | 430.54$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 425.65$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.8 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Under | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 51c | 389.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.43 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 50c | 347.04$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.54 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 162.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4a…4140backed Over | 31c | 123.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Over | 50c | 77.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 53c | 69.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…c6cbbacked Under | 70c | 56.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 27c | 40.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 67c | 35.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 46c | 32.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 54c | 25.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 24.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 52c | 22.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…9fffbacked Under | 53c | 20.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 51c | 20.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.