MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa043c22cc64571ee7d5108202ac375168a67539a8a25ce8ab38c7ab7395acc72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,555 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6027…4320backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 2,960$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.56 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 2,542$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.85 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,591$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.87 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,272$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.78 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,225$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.71 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,003$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 987.46$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.65 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 894.77$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.39 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 853.94$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.05 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 852.58$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.96 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 744.25$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.02 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 716.21$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.35 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 688.69$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.32 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Atlanta Braves | 78c | 581$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2596…fd5abacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 531.17$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 528.79$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.14 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 470$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 424.46$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.45 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 346.18$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.65 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 308.96$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.02 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 258$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.23 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 220.6$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 207.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 177.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 167.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Minnesota Twins | 31c | 159$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 156.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 484 | 45.9%222 W · 262 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 141.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 118.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 107.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 95.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…0a55backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 90.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 78.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 70.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 69.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 51.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 49.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…72c3backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 48.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 38.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 37.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 36.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 33.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 32.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…40a6backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.