TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Baylor Bears (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Baylor Bearsof Baylor Bears, Minnesota Golden Gophers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Minnesota Golden Gophers49c5,114$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.0436944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Baylor Bears52c3,462$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6722,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Baylor Bears51c3,003$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.561,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Minnesota Golden Gophers52c2,741$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.5410543.8%46 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Minnesota Golden Gophers52c2,725$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.7578155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers50c2,209$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.312,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Baylor Bears50c1,370$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Baylor Bears54c1,234$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.151,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baylor Bears50c954.3$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.015,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Baylor Bears53c916.79$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.891838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Golden Gophers47c833.07$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.851,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Baylor Bears53c733.43$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.718257.3%47 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Baylor Bears59c705.37$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.333,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Minnesota Golden Gophers43c586.7$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.415743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Baylor Bears49c376.36$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Golden Gophers54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.481435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Baylor Bears52c342.4$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.063650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Minnesota Golden Gophers45c303.83$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.959151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Baylor Bears48c294.74$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.263,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Minnesota Golden Gophers51c291.18$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.55044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Baylor Bears51c240.87$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.037258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers51c223.22$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.52933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Baylor Bears49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10212254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Minnesota Golden Gophers51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10257448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Baylor Bears50c190.19$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.097044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Baylor Bears52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Baylor Bears52c185.22$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0883350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Baylor Bears49c174.09$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7926740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Baylor Bears59c156.55$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Minnesota Golden Gophers48c155.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.683842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Baylor Bears71c132.12$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6960551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Baylor Bears46c128.9$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.064,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Baylor Bears50c124.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Baylor Bears47c123.5$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.93655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Baylor Bears52c119.46$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.342065%13 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Minnesota Golden Gophers19c117.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5670%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Baylor Bears45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0932246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Baylor Bears51c99.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9931537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17a9…c488backed Baylor Bears49c96.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Minnesota Golden Gophers47c93.71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.483441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Baylor Bears50c86.54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2720254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Baylor Bears50c75.85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.926654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…72c3backed Baylor Bears52c74.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Baylor Bears48c73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9650548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Baylor Bears51c67.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.315457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Baylor Bears51c66.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.833375.8%25 W · 8 L+8.0wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Minnesota Golden Gophers48c66.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.731241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Baylor Bears48c63.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.885954.2%32 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Baylor Bears48c61.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.011,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Minnesota Golden Gophers49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0832652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Baylor Bears49c56.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.617749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Baylor Bears50c55.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.888254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Baylor Bears50c55.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.083959%23 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4c…5c55backed Baylor Bears51c55.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers45c55.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.631833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Baylor Bears46c55.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.731050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Minnesota Golden Gophers50c48.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.233447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers54c46.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Minnesota Golden Gophers44c44.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.521,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers55c43.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed Minnesota Golden Gophers52c42.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Minnesota Golden Gophers45c42.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.061580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+41.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Minnesota Golden Gophers48c40.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6710048%48 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Baylor Bears50c40.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.257146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfaf…064abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e13…b909backed Baylor Bears50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Baylor Bears47c38.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.535354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Baylor Bears52c37.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1958652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers53c37.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8569350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Minnesota Golden Gophers57c37.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.47540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Baylor Bears49c37.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.956459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Baylor Bears49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.362875%21 W · 7 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Minnesota Golden Gophers43c35.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.56251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x853f…d2a8backed Baylor Bears50c34.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Baylor Bears48c32.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.758246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Baylor Bears48c32.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7519958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed Baylor Bears71c30.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.914100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Baylor Bears49c29.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1333058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Baylor Bears51c29.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.241145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Baylor Bears61c28.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.231861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Baylor Bears52c27.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.391145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers41c27.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Minnesota Golden Gophers53c27.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Baylor Bears62c27.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.363458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Minnesota Golden Gophers41c26.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Baylor Bears47c23.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+67.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Baylor Bears44c23.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.272646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197c…544bbacked Baylor Bears51c22.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.941457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Baylor Bears48c22.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.541250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Baylor Bears53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Baylor Bears49c21.14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7812341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60d…03a8backed Baylor Bears51c20.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.263565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Baylor Bears50c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Minnesota Golden Gophers55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.944748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0112…4fe9backed Baylor Bears54c19.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.283447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.