Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93d9c6c4f77c422910d66808a564787846d8df0f2a7f609636f15e04d497d3a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 51c | 7,611$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.23 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 3,808$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.95 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 1,503$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 45c | 1,388$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.25 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 57c | 1,189$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.86 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.17 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Over | 44c | 988.36$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.88 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 907.29$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 48c | 674.32$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.7 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 55c | 443.81$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 44c | 342.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Under | 56c | 329.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 265.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 226.03$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 134.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 131.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 49c | 123.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 51c | 108.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 46c | 94.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Over | 15c | 86.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 84.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 76.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Under | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Over | 51c | 74.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 69c | 69.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 49c | 64.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under | 59c | 58.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 49c | 51.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Over | 42c | 47.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 49c | 46.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Under | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 74c | 41.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 49c | 35.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 31.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 29.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Under | 61c | 17.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 148.5this page
- Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden GophersBaylor Bears won
- Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Baylor Bears (-12.5)Baylor Bears won
- Spread: Baylor Bears (-3.5)Baylor Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.