Mls · resolved market
Philadelphia Union vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71ae477d86ee105bf7c5edeaeedb471bc4551dc9255865a97044c02acd9eba39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 40c | 15,008$6,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,038.85 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 4,245$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.39 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 55c | 3,149$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.75 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.18 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 869.47$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.06 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Under | 54c | 725.93$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 15c | 299.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 55c | 290.45$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 54c | 283.45$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 54c | 278$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 231.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 217.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 54c | 185.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 48c | 179.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd7…934abacked Under | 50c | 146.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0836…3057backed Under | 50c | 145.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…0a36backed Under | 50c | 144.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…1cb4backed Under | 50c | 144.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae6…b2ccbacked Under | 50c | 143.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…0579backed Under | 50c | 143.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…d23dbacked Under | 50c | 142.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…49f2backed Under | 50c | 142.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…2962backed Under | 50c | 142.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…f86ebacked Under | 50c | 142.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…e080backed Under | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…3ef9backed Under | 50c | 141.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…e3e1backed Under | 50c | 141.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…9113backed Under | 50c | 141.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8602…fd48backed Under | 50c | 140.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533a…1676backed Under | 50c | 139.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2181…32b2backed Under | 50c | 139.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e35…beabbacked Under | 50c | 138.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…b17fbacked Under | 50c | 138.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9f…6d55backed Under | 50c | 137.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2a…ce7fbacked Under | 50c | 137.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…0fc3backed Under | 50c | 137.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…834dbacked Under | 50c | 137.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…6f37backed Under | 50c | 137.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…d315backed Under | 50c | 137.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b6…e145backed Under | 50c | 137.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…e9fbbacked Under | 50c | 137.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…43fbbacked Under | 50c | 137.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…c7c0backed Under | 50c | 137.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…65bfbacked Under | 50c | 137.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb479…cdcabacked Under | 50c | 137.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab0…0b80backed Under | 50c | 137.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff6…2ff7backed Under | 50c | 137.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…27afbacked Under | 50c | 137.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5d…0fbfbacked Under | 50c | 137.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…9f58backed Under | 50c | 137.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…d1f6backed Under | 50c | 137.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…8792backed Under | 50c | 137.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…669dbacked Under | 50c | 137.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac2…6908backed Under | 50c | 137.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0937…99dfbacked Under | 50c | 137.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…76f2backed Under | 50c | 136.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…7ca5backed Under | 50c | 135.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ce…5893backed Under | 50c | 135.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…2b84backed Under | 50c | 135.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…ff0bbacked Under | 50c | 134.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…821dbacked Under | 50c | 134.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe42…8e5cbacked Under | 50c | 134.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…e0fabacked Under | 50c | 134.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…3ab8backed Under | 50c | 134.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…ccb4backed Under | 50c | 133.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…57babacked Under | 50c | 133.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…0754backed Under | 50c | 132.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…7007backed Under | 50c | 132.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…f09fbacked Under | 50c | 132.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…9d17backed Under | 50c | 132.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…9019backed Under | 50c | 130.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…13f0backed Under | 50c | 130.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 54c | 127.42$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1e…009abacked Under | 50c | 125.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe147…06d2backed Under | 50c | 125.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 97.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Over | 46c | 86.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 54c | 77.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 48c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 71.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 64c | 70.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 54c | 68.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 59.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 44.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 54c | 44.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Union vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Philadelphia Union vs. D.C. United SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Philadelphia Union vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)D.C. United SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.