TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Over58c8,012$4,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,607.8715647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.8127837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over44c4,851$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.663243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under52c4,239$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.724852.1%25 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under45c3,191$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+47.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under44c3,150$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.733855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c2,081$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under43c1,754$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.2324046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under38c1,617$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.6842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over53c1,395$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.2447748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under42c1,324$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.718661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over45c1,166$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.3978344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over66c1,126$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.183,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under7c964.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.4213046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over61c688.52$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over57c675.39$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2358043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Over17c642.51$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.31833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over63c507.94$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under69c418.03$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.222934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over72c413.57$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4539567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under12c400$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3521100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over61c339.31$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2312254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over49c331.76$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.561070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over61c329.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9622263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over61c258.78$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0815458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over10c253.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.392646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+512.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over56c253.32$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1791553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under40c233.33$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over66c232$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over55c227$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8555750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over55c227$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Under38c213.16$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.162445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x665e…7291backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over73c189.6$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.931158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over59c181.33$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.462927.6%8 W · 21 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-57.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbb5d…d917backed Under46c175.78$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under7c164.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.758041.3%33 W · 47 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ea8…3d00backed Over65c153.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over79c144.8$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.919052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over42c140.3$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Over56c135.71$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over57c128.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.523339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Over49c119.95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.782842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503318.2%6 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c108.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6428721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Over22c103.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.141250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over72c103.24$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.234673.9%34 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Over21c102.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.461275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc84f…c9ecbacked Over49c100.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under78c97.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5628851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over29c97.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8230957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under38c86.64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.644163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over60c83.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9919255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under25c81.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.325343.4%23 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Under31c78.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.32259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+63.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c75.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.782044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over56c74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.381,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over57c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.98942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under40c69.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.995255.8%29 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over22c69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1819645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over61c67.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over61c65.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4370249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over62c63.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2239234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408465.5%55 W · 29 L+16.4wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over61c61.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.56443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.616651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over55c54.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Over43c51.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.352642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over61c50.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.886357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over55c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9520648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Over53c42.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3740%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255757.9%33 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over61c40.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9912254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f5…1ad7backed Over62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over62c39.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.649452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over73c39.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8120554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259758.8%57 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over47c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.366056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over61c36.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9110655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d71…06e2backed Over42c34.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over61c30.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.742065%13 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over65c29.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.326563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over65c29.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3222269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over65c29.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3215676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over65c29.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.328971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xecee…0f63backed Over63c26.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Over57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under41c25.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.112744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8e6…819fbacked Over73c24.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9888…a1f7backed Over48c22.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4662…d084backed Over51c20.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Over60c20.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.05825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-55.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb297…db87backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.