TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,468 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Over43c11,810$5,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,064.0815647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under57c9,254$5,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,979.2223858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under34c1,457$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.524046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over51c1,228$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Over72c1,058$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c1,054$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.278344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Under63c999.98$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under48c914.7$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.1747748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c909.28$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.043,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under63c872.93$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9818655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over42c720.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Under59c681.46$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.57366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over40c561.88$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.2342947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over41c446$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.868540%34 W · 51 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over61c393.02$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.952748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over41c374.69$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.331,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under53c324$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under60c303.28$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.418661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under60c300.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4258043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb63f…793cbacked Under46c293.74$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under60c267.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0824351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over35c266.86$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.41353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over67c245$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.447364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under58c237$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.542133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over78c227$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0613844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under44c224.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over37c201.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.413339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over19c193.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.825228.8%15 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over41c187.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5531158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over46c171.76$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4419052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under57c159.49$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.586847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under63c156$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7220648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over32c134.03$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.419645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over46c122.61$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.45759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Under23c102.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.83540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over45c101.4$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1220554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Under59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.112955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c88.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9913046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Over80c87.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704456.8%25 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c85.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.839234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over41c82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6144350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e95…f5bfbacked Under62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under29c66.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.289452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under57c60.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.145255.8%29 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under57c58.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.332927.6%8 W · 21 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-57.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over80c57.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7211244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d3…e454backed Under56c53.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked Under57c52.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2128721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.525934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.183658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea8…3d00backed Over77c48.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over41c48.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under60c47.08$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.968934.8%31 W · 58 L-16.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under45c46.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6812254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208465.5%55 W · 29 L+16.4wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Over44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Under58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over57c41.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5719255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under56c41.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.226555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over40c40.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1129460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.839567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over46c36.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7410957.8%63 W · 46 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Under30c36.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.153661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under61c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0411441.2%47 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over39c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0410353.4%55 W · 48 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over40c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under51c33.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.438041.3%33 W · 47 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over45c33.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.024673.9%34 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6796…3578backed Under58c31.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over79c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.75569.1%38 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over63c29.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.766563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over63c29.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7622269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over64c29.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.768971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x49c5…b169backed Over56c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over65c28.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7615676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x6baa…b85fbacked Over43c28.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d9…a1e4backed Under55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed Over63c26.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.564077.5%31 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over67c25.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9112254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over42c24.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.319245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb549…c2b6backed Over78c24.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Over68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over64c19.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5415458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked Over78c19.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-68%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Under57c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf07d…aa71backed Over69c15.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over79c14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0630957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.