TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under8c509$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0913046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under8c318.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c34…7bc6backed Under50c213.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b40…60dcbacked Under50c210.02$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x232c…2dfebacked Under50c208.93$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc53…57babacked Under50c208.79$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2181…32b2backed Under50c208.15$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b26…10c6backed Under50c206.93$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eda…2754backed Under49c206.48$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f92…f99dbacked Under50c206.24$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc31…4c4abacked Under50c204.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9643…3e01backed Under50c204.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e5d…cb42backed Under50c204$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c38…a5a4backed Under50c203.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd2…b38bbacked Under49c203.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3227…6df7backed Under50c202.66$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc9…72f3backed Under50c202.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d2…ba63backed Under50c202.05$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fdb…1d7cbacked Under50c201.59$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa908…d716backed Under49c200.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.43450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6328…f86ebacked Under50c200.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc51b…d43dbacked Under50c200.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b5b…e06bbacked Under50c200.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd032…36e0backed Under50c199.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90da…3768backed Under50c199.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5493…af51backed Under50c199.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53eb…ccecbacked Under50c199.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb074…2b84backed Under50c199.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a4e…669dbacked Under50c199.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…ba2cbacked Under50c199.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa18…8fc1backed Under50c199.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x911c…f546backed Under50c199.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486a…1c30backed Under50c199.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5baa…15e2backed Under50c198.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e27…a24cbacked Under50c198.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4bf…85e6backed Under50c198.19$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04a…5195backed Under50c198.16$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b09…e3d3backed Under50c197.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe14c…0fadbacked Under50c197.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a4…a4ccbacked Under50c197.54$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1469…3a8abacked Under50c197.49$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a34…e0fcbacked Under50c197.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa285…87a5backed Under50c196.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9dc…6a9fbacked Under50c196.31$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…e3e1backed Under50c196.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cd…5c16backed Under50c196.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd03c…6558backed Under50c195.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…866fbacked Under50c195.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0843…d4c8backed Under49c195.59$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee2…9375backed Under49c195.49$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33b2…0cb6backed Under50c195.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f20…836fbacked Under50c195.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fb…72ccbacked Under50c194.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a0…0579backed Under50c194.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9c…467dbacked Under50c194.95$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f8…3870backed Under50c194.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb624…e0fabacked Under50c194.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa299…6817backed Under50c194.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0919…6690backed Under50c194.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb011…2447backed Under50c194.19$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b43…0907backed Under50c194.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd84…2f5dbacked Under50c193.95$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4944…c3d8backed Under50c193.78$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bc…40eabacked Under50c193.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5dc…d448backed Under50c192.8$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f4…8c69backed Under50c192.73$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e4…afeabacked Under50c192.51$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44df…7855backed Under50c192.02$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c74…b314backed Under50c191.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a4d…7ca5backed Under50c190.96$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce04…f72ebacked Under50c190.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7a…4f82backed Under50c190.81$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.41650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce12…e22ebacked Under50c190.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d43…f965backed Under50c190.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd07f…8302backed Under49c190.56$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1fb…5280backed Under50c190.45$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a4…821dbacked Under50c190.35$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab0…0b80backed Under49c190.32$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e3…5cb5backed Under49c190.2$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9f…6d55backed Under49c190.01$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x590e…b786backed Under50c190.01$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4a…3b8cbacked Under50c189.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.97450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x875e…0377backed Under50c189.83$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ef…e9fbbacked Under50c189.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d6…116abacked Under50c189.06$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…8e97backed Under50c189.01$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f60…3ab8backed Under50c188.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ff…7898backed Under50c188.59$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x907c…dd5fbacked Under50c188.46$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1324…eb09backed Under49c188.19$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.21425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x351f…ccb4backed Under50c187.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86a…7082backed Under50c187.73$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under7c187.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.325228.8%15 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b3…2923backed Under50c186.8$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbba1…1b12backed Under50c186.2$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca0…8be9backed Under50c184.1$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ec…0142backed Under50c183.28$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22f3…504fbacked Under50c183.11$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6267…7b54backed Under50c181.82$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1dc…9389backed Under50c180.01$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.