Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bc169e33d521cf259741de2d64d5f1785a62cfb718e85c2422a4a83d863961f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 76c | 3,420$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.88 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 20c | 2,100$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 23c | 1,554$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.64 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 1,412$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.56 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Under | 23c | 1,252$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Over | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 18c | 951.78$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.45 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 21c | 765$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 80c | 562.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 489.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 19c | 441.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 22c | 351$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 76c | 266.56$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 19c | 250.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 80c | 215.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 80c | 187$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 24c | 130.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 19c | 124.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 76c | 93.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 20c | 89.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 19c | 82.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 80c | 81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 20c | 65.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 80c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 20c | 56.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 79c | 53.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 20c | 52.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…bf73backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…15afbacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…4fd0backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 80c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 22c | 45.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 79c | 34.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 79c | 28.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 78c | 16.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c7…ee00backed Over | 76c | 15.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…415cbacked Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.