Mls · resolved market
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa83e379ad2ab79b0ff3e6434889a0c3c251add827c158d37b0cb2ff948b7d75a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vancouver Whitecaps FCof Vancouver Whitecaps FC, Sporting Kansas City
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sporting Kansas City | 20c | 3,690$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.71 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 72c | 2,464$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.67 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sporting Kansas City | 27c | 1,581$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.95 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Sporting Kansas City | 27c | 1,329$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.83 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sporting Kansas City | 30c | 1,100$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sporting Kansas City | 27c | 764.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 74c | 539.98$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 76c | 414$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 53c | 243$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 70c | 178$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 70c | 178$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 70c | 177.75$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sporting Kansas City | 28c | 157.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 55c | 157.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 71c | 149.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Sporting Kansas City | 28c | 146.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sporting Kansas City | 24c | 139.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 80c | 126$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 51c | 116.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Sporting Kansas City | 27c | 104.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 72c | 96.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 54c | 96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Sporting Kansas City | 25c | 94.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…9bc4backed Sporting Kansas City | 27c | 92.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 58c | 90.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Sporting Kansas City | 30c | 87.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 67c | 79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 52c | 73.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 74c | 67.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…9765backed Sporting Kansas City | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Sporting Kansas City | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Sporting Kansas City | 27c | 59.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…2ba1backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Sporting Kansas City | 27c | 52.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Sporting Kansas City | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Sporting Kansas City | 27c | 45.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…fbedbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sporting Kansas City | 35c | 43.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Sporting Kansas City | 27c | 40.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 73c | 39.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sporting Kansas City | 27c | 37.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 52c | 36.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Sporting Kansas City | 31c | 32.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 53c | 29.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016f…9d30backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…9814backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 67c | 17.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…777fbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 78c | 13.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 80c | 13.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.