TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xecee…0f63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT4062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.42
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.37
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.13
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.52
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.02
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.31
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.84
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.15
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.12
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.2
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.72
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.61
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.69
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$32.3
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$26.43
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.18
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$22.46
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$24.04
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.78
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.67
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.01
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.9
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.36
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18.22
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.31
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.12
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.41
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.19
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.91
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.86
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.93
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.75
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.58
Sweden vs. Poland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.07
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.02
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.92
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+48.6%+$8.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.