TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Croatia win on 2026-03-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c13,964$10,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,234.971,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes23c9,694$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.637924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c8,825$6,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.731,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes23c6,934$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.7217338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes13c3,078$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002412.5%3 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-82.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c2,815$2,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.1255045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes6c2,162$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.821,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No79c1,868$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.351060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes7c1,807$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes2c1,636$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes24c1,616$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.810234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes22c1,586$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.029124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes5c1,393$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c7…67ddbacked Yes9c1,363$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.641040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c1,261$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.271,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c1,248$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.894,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes22c1,150$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ded…4b3ebacked Yes23c1,103$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes10c1,059$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.933959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No79c1,018$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0413762.8%86 W · 51 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed No77c1,012$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No75c813.98$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.832,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes6c804$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.86911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-83.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes14c762.96$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7a…ae6abacked Yes24c750$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No76c667.26$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3736850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No78c654.89$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9950850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked No77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3510260.8%62 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab6a…3319backed No78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes23c638.81$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.932236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c613.25$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.011,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No77c599.99$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13633555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes5c575.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3342043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aba…94aebacked No79c569.62$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.622466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes5c528.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.518040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No78c525.59$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8486455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014243.7%62 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No80c424.55$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0945947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes3c424.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No78c405.44$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6921953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Yes22c402.9$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.645345.3%24 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No75c401.09$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.272,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Yes22c364.14$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.97945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No76c361.81$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.832240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Yes22c349.27$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.841040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac79…8508backed Yes22c343.32$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No78c331$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.623847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48c6…9a07backed Yes22c305.97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed Yes23c302.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.682050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes21c299$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.374641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes22c291$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.636347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c288.81$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.337144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb2f…5522backed No78c275.58$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.63560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked No77c273.39$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7110958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed No77c267.13$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.129855.1%54 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed No79c260$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.630463.5%193 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555024%12 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No78c249.52$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6820156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes13c239.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee42…144dbacked Yes23c239.13$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked No77c239$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf45e…6e29backed Yes23c236.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6583…046bbacked No77c236.92$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…c9c3backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+49.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No77c217.03$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3823749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0348…3d81backed Yes9c214.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.941330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaed…88c4backed Yes10c214.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No77c211.48$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3841451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f0…f0edbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed No76c203.95$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No77c202.53$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4843653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…68ecbacked Yes27c201.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…1683backed No78c200$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e4…2ed6backed Yes17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed No78c190$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+46.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdae1…3835backed Yes22c190$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fff…3a96backed No79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No75c188.28$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0718452.7%97 W · 87 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd2…33b8backed Yes21c187.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No76c183.5$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.047859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf66…3436backed Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404725.5%12 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c97…fad7backed Yes23c175.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No77c175.19$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8524653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No78c175.05$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.517748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No78c171.27$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9810863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked No77c168.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.874660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Yes21c167.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9410742.1%45 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes22c167.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8935942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8021…a751backed Yes23c166.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.691241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No77c160.57$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.933650%18 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes14c157.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.412,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c142.83$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed No77c142.83$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.85366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked No78c142.31$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.312975.9%22 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb79a…090cbacked Yes15c136$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.061225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-14%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc080…f9a0backed Yes23c132.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.584845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes15c131.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206621.2%14 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.