South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36a1cbb8b1275574096681016e5f40f2fa6888ad26b43c8a0335af4114fffecb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Guadalajaraof CD Guadalajara, Club Puebla
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed CD Guadalajara | 31c | 20,373$6,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,014.48 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…64b8backed Club Puebla | 68c | 9,663$6,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,570.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Club Puebla | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Club Puebla | 71c | 1,110$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Club Puebla | 71c | 1,016$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.13 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Club Puebla | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Club Puebla | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Club Puebla | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Puebla | 67c | 985.42$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Club Puebla | 69c | 962.6$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.92 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Club Puebla | 70c | 485.71$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Club Puebla | 67c | 386$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.32 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed CD Guadalajara | 34c | 299.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.11 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Club Puebla | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f1…0e51backed Club Puebla | 49c | 229.36$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…e9fbbacked Club Puebla | 49c | 228.87$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dc…9389backed Club Puebla | 49c | 222.38$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…866fbacked Club Puebla | 49c | 220.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c74…b314backed Club Puebla | 49c | 219.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…4224backed Club Puebla | 49c | 216.07$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1494…0593backed Club Puebla | 49c | 215.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Club Puebla | 68c | 213.47$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…d18cbacked Club Puebla | 49c | 212.06$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…bf96backed Club Puebla | 49c | 211.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914f…e477backed Club Puebla | 49c | 211.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…0004backed Club Puebla | 49c | 206.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…c51bbacked Club Puebla | 49c | 205.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…85e6backed Club Puebla | 49c | 202.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec2a…ce7fbacked Club Puebla | 49c | 201.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d32…2154backed Club Puebla | 49c | 199.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…d23dbacked Club Puebla | 49c | 199.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…eb09backed Club Puebla | 49c | 199.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44df…7855backed Club Puebla | 49c | 198.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…dee2backed Club Puebla | 49c | 197.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…f54fbacked Club Puebla | 49c | 197.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…43b6backed Club Puebla | 49c | 196.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…d1f6backed Club Puebla | 49c | 196.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…65bfbacked Club Puebla | 49c | 195.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…ff81backed Club Puebla | 49c | 195.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5d…0fbfbacked Club Puebla | 49c | 194.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…9d17backed Club Puebla | 49c | 192.51$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0836…3057backed Club Puebla | 49c | 186.09$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…9019backed Club Puebla | 49c | 184.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…1cedbacked Club Puebla | 49c | 179.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Club Puebla | 75c | 174$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.31 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Club Puebla | 66c | 147$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Club Puebla | 68c | 143$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Club Puebla | 13c | 140.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed CD Guadalajara | 25c | 124$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Club Puebla | 68c | 120.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Club Puebla | 68c | 97.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Puebla | 66c | 83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Club Puebla | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed CD Guadalajara | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Club Puebla | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed CD Guadalajara | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Club Puebla | 65c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Club Puebla | 69c | 40.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed Club Puebla | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CD Guadalajara | 34c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Club Puebla | 67c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Club Puebla | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Club Puebla | 68c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Club Puebla | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Club Puebla | 70c | 16.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Club Puebla | 66c | 15.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)CD Guadalajara won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.