South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13beb54083a95e976ca8aefd2accffc0144997d83eaa7cf39bd62cc41d90b915
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 43c | 40,984$17,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,368.26 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 23,538$13,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,416.84 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 57c | 7,619$4,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,342.83 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,893$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.64 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 57c | 1,355$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.42 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 58c | 1,196$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.65 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 902.32$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.23 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 457.59$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 57c | 406.79$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 43c | 365.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.58 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 57c | 292.51$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.73 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 57c | 276.27$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 46c | 264.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.07 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4448…90dabacked Under | 49c | 198.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50db…1d65backed Under | 49c | 195.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…b3d1backed Under | 49c | 189.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7c…b757backed Under | 49c | 184.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fa…825bbacked Under | 49c | 183.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…373ebacked Under | 49c | 182.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c8…d9a1backed Under | 49c | 182.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…4233backed Under | 49c | 181.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…2fb8backed Under | 49c | 181.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6234…00a8backed Under | 49c | 181.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa292…d691backed Under | 49c | 180.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…5169backed Under | 49c | 178.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…f05abacked Over | 58c | 177.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa23…03ccbacked Under | 51c | 176.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…a853backed Under | 49c | 175.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 49c | 175$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…0b53backed Under | 49c | 172.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e0…c20ebacked Under | 49c | 172.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 171$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 57c | 137.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 60c | 75.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 57c | 63.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 57c | 58.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 53.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 57c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 57c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…bc8cbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 48.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 57c | 41.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 70c | 31.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 63c | 27.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 80c | 27.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 55c | 25.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 57c | 23.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 50c | 22.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2255…39a9backed Under | 57c | 22.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 56c | 21.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)CD Guadalajara won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)CD Guadalajara won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.