South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x560c60dc123f2b1f91053a2e3b2ecff5aa64c76410f538513eff17748f00b6d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Guadalajaraof Club Puebla, CD Guadalajara
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff6f…9e3cbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 207.26$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…8792backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 206.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…e080backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 206.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f452backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 206.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…6782backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 206.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…5c16backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 204.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d6…a834backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 204.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ef9ebacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 204.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…8031backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 204.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6267…7b54backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 203.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…fea6backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 203.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5b…e06bbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 202.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe42…8e5cbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 202.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9f…6d55backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 202.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…591bbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 201.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…71b9backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 201.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad0…2980backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 201.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…116abacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 201.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…0d38backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 201.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…0deebacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 201.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…d448backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 201.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…9f58backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 200.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d4…3f2abacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 200.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7a…f3d6backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 200.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…d315backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 199.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…ccecbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 199.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…304fbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 198.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…0377backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 198.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…a5a4backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 198.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533a…1676backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 198.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…2ab4backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 197.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…c7c0backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 197.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2611…521ebacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 197.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…d18cbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 196.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…2b84backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 196.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…866fbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 196.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff6…2ff7backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 196.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…74bfbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 195.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…7f14backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 194.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae6…b2ccbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 194.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…0a36backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 194.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…b17fbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 193.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…db7ebacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 193.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f58…7becbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 193.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…afd2backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 193.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…c51bbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 192.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…dee2backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 192.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…251ebacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 192.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…d4c8backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 192.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb479…cdcabacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 192.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…2962backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 191.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…e22ebacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 190.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…d1f6backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 190.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4c…69cbbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 190.2$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5d…0fbfbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 189.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…3e01backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 189.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…43b6backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 189.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…347dbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 189.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2e…fd0bbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 187.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…8fc1backed CD Guadalajara | 50c | 184.74$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)CD Guadalajara won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.