South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7993dcb723c774343682848558a1c9beba5c5205946f6ec036498ce58fef8c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Guadalajaraof CD Guadalajara, Club Puebla
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed CD Guadalajara | 56c | 97,463$54,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,892.65 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Club Puebla | 43c | 34,495$14,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,834.89 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Club Puebla | 43c | 23,538$10,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,121.48 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…4d89backed Club Puebla | 49c | 5,942$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Puebla | 43c | 4,241$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.33 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Club Puebla | 43c | 3,529$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.58 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Club Puebla | 43c | 3,326$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Club Puebla | 43c | 3,051$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.49 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Club Puebla | 49c | 2,858$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.11 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Club Puebla | 49c | 2,801$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.55 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked CD Guadalajara | 56c | 2,708$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Club Puebla | 49c | 2,436$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Club Puebla | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Club Puebla | 44c | 1,859$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.75 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Club Puebla | 43c | 1,483$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.67 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Club Puebla | 43c | 1,407$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.17 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Club Puebla | 43c | 1,407$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.9 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Club Puebla | 31c | 1,073$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Club Puebla | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed CD Guadalajara | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Club Puebla | 43c | 736.9$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.84 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Club Puebla | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Club Puebla | 47c | 393.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Club Puebla | 43c | 268.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Club Puebla | 43c | 259.71$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed CD Guadalajara | 70c | 255.6$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Club Puebla | 43c | 226.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Club Puebla | 45c | 220.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Club Puebla | 43c | 218.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Club Puebla | 43c | 208.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Puebla | 45c | 206$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked CD Guadalajara | 56c | 178.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Club Puebla | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Club Puebla | 43c | 137.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed CD Guadalajara | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Club Puebla | 43c | 103.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Club Puebla | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Club Puebla | 43c | 98.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Club Puebla | 43c | 91.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Club Puebla | 43c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Club Puebla | 43c | 85.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Club Puebla | 43c | 83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Club Puebla | 44c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Club Puebla | 48c | 62.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Club Puebla | 43c | 59.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Club Puebla | 43c | 57.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked CD Guadalajara | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…2b18backed Club Puebla | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Club Puebla | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed CD Guadalajara | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Club Puebla | 43c | 47.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Club Puebla | 46c | 47.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Club Puebla | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed CD Guadalajara | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed CD Guadalajara | 55c | 44.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +111%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Club Puebla | 43c | 34.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Club Puebla | 45c | 32.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed CD Guadalajara | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Club Puebla | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed Club Puebla | 45c | 22.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Club Puebla | 47c | 21.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed Club Puebla | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked Club Puebla | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)CD Guadalajara won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.