CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Sashi Esport (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaff11eec4dc4983ddf463ae8927a299f5617c7f8764bc676fefc9e882ef0f06d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, Sashi Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2606…ba10backed Sashi Esport | 31c | 19,274$5,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,974.9 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 15,304$10,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.44 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 1,963$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…394ebacked Sashi Esport | 32c | 1,665$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 1,550$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 1,422$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.92 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 408.21$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…962ebacked Sashi Esport | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 161.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sashi Esport | 31c | 111.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 49.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Sashi Esport (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.