TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over72c5,150$3,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.95248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over69c3,508$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.463873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under29c3,483$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.473,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c3,307$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.163,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over62c1,950$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.7513544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over61c1,316$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.7989443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c1,157$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.264,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…6dd4backed Under2c1,057$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under44c1,005$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.856432.8%21 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over74c909.09$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0912250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under39c692.24$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.141,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over57c596.11$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.338243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under30c559.43$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.831,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4710657.5%61 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under31c499.25$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.744,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under44c451.06$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4713351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over56c414.29$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2921747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over67c364.02$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.972254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over60c359.98$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3914146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under41c329$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8912146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over61c325.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2733544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under41c304.24$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.743,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c299.18$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.371,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over67c296.62$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.348646.5%40 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Over68c293$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7611447.4%54 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over56c282.34$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.237953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over66c278.63$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6821630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…ea7abacked Under44c270.06$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.542441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over75c266.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5411965.5%78 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under41c264.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.643,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c88…0e4dbacked Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over55c230$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.533120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over60c213.5$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.438439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under28c209.62$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006747.8%32 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under40c197.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.961,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over79c190.05$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.999168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under42c177$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.345242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over56c170.88$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.184949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc217…c697backed Over56c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over79c152.52$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0317569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010540%42 W · 63 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over62c150.73$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2841857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under39c144.32$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.491,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over56c141.07$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0716547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under39c140.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0284844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under24c137.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3356541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under31c134$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.564440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f8d…1b84backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5813357.1%76 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over62c123.39$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.092,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bdf…e663backed Over73c122.47$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.071154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over56c119.64$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6482340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Over59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.647751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x92a9…ffd7backed Over59c111.86$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.861782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under40c108.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.842,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over59c107.78$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1941451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over59c107.78$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1935549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under40c103.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.131,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8699…e223backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3312848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under45c99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5590840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over79c96.42$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c81.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over62c81.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.898644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3650450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under28c72.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Under26c72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7315059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0435…a10ebacked Under28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201625%4 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over77c65.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4425455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over59c62.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5818371%130 W · 53 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over56c59.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2736543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c54.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.311,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Over64c49.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.952544%11 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Over59c49.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.146167.2%41 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over56c47.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.72850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over58c36.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.218158%47 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.912661.9%78 W · 48 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.937057.3%212 W · 158 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under45c33.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.141050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d21…59f7backed Over61c33.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.035543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Over77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.474866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Over59c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.122755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over55c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.518649.5%92 W · 94 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd59f…dd3fbacked Over56c29.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.223743.9%104 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over57c27.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6946562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over75c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4634845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8614047.9%67 W · 73 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under42c25.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8624257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb6…c187backed Over78c25.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.674479.5%35 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Over80c25.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.052470.8%17 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb9b…49a7backed Over53c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over61c21.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206f…631bbacked Over57c19.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over57c18.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817271.5%123 W · 49 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over72c18.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0811364.6%73 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.