Fifa International · resolved market
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9e514027aac1f369f618813a453b0cbc9ea06b85e80e3a64f772ea626789830
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Yes | 44c | 3,775$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.78 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 2,339$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 1,238$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.76 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 55c | 852.52$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.89 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 810.22$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.07 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 21c | 591.66$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edf…c034backed Yes | 78c | 478.76$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 67c | 327.03$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 43c | 252$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 252$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 42c | 236.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…7596backed No | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 127.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 113$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 44c | 113$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 57c | 106.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 69.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 43c | 68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 44c | 65.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…e02fbacked Yes | 44c | 58.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed No | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 19c | 52.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 44c | 45.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 43c | 35.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 56c | 28.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hungary (-1.5)Hungary won
- Spread: Hungary (-2.5)Kazakhstan won
- Spread: Kazakhstan (-1.5)Hungary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.