TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$475,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$590,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over66c100,000$65,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,018.5217034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe44f…fff1backed Under2c68,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401020%2 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+185.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c60,295$21,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,603.693,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…a024backed Under2c30,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001861.1%11 W · 7 L+7.7wins+0.43per pick19cpaid+216.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Under2c26,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c25,497$10,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,021.664,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Under6c16,800$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801323.1%3 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick8cpaid+196.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Under4c12,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…3776backed Under12c11,112$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.994717%8 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under59c10,447$6,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,128.442,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under7c9,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d9…6ae6backed Under5c9,200$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under6c8,242$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.628817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under7c7,751$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.064524.4%11 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+183.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under34c7,060$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.633,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over40c4,526$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,725.7913544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8963…c780backed Under10c1,583$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150180%0 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under48c1,377$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.0537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Under73c1,313$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.57153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under34c1,184$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under61c965.99$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.132,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over52c965.38$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.3821747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over37c804.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.5489443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Under62c742.07$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601520%3 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x048b…f503backed Over66c628.8$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3367859%46 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39622041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38414051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d3…d972backed Under39c581.57$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.592161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5652441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over41c554.45$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32725865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over34c545.5$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.031,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over31c537.68$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37161750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over43c522.04$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.561,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over43c522$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.5241451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over36c472.4$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.3413351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under65c449.99$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.51,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under67c446.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under60c416$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.62,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under34c391$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9433443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under63c384.25$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0811065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under34c381.69$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3513059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under54c370$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.84440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over54c368.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0628258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Over72c351.46$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4610762.6%67 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over48c346.69$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.368955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under60c340$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20413351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under10c317.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0947546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x662d…7582backed Under62c307.31$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.461637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over42c292.63$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.631758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Over24c289.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.642544%11 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Over37c289$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.374621.7%10 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over70c288.45$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3817569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over36c288.39$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.4221630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over36c285$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.433120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Under39c277.3$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0311450.9%58 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under62c275.29$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6835848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over58c264.7$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1735658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under62c261.06$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.491,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under62c249.57$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.113,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Under20c248.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4427255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over40c244.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6329138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under54c229$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6619946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under41c205.89$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5838745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over50c201.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.219746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6816656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9614146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0812250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315056%28 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under37c192.25$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.129740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under11c190.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2125049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under58c190.28$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over45c188.05$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.522951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over76c187.52$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.39456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bdf…e663backed Over64c187.2$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.391154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Under39c180.96$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3611852.5%62 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under33c170$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1534845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under54c162.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…40adbacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293923.1%9 W · 30 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-41.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over39c152.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over39c151.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.241857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.511042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c147.5$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.181,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under37c139.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5842952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Under73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009359.1%55 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over31c134.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7628964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under56c130.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.34,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over44c127.55$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4335549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over40c125.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.038644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Over37c122.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4721240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba3e…4cbcbacked Under49c121.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.593366.7%22 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Under76c115.95$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.129963.6%63 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under64c113.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3548152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf0…4eadbacked Over66c109.77$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under64c109.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.