Fifa International · resolved market
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1fc0b09fbe84896fbc90fba71e5ca31971b955030cc00a2d2ac55bb62f0f14c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $475,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $590,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 66c | 100,000$65,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,018.52 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44f…fff1backed Under | 2c | 68,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 60,295$21,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,603.69 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a024backed Under | 2c | 30,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +7.7wins | +0.43per pick | 19cpaid | +216.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Under | 2c | 26,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 25,497$10,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,021.66 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Under | 6c | 16,800$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 8cpaid | +196.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Under | 4c | 12,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…3776backed Under | 12c | 11,112$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.99 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 10,447$6,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,128.44 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Under | 7c | 9,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 69 | 10.1%7 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…6ae6backed Under | 5c | 9,200$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 6c | 8,242$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.62 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 7c | 7,751$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.06 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 7,060$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.63 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 40c | 4,526$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.79 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…c780backed Under | 10c | 1,583$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Under | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 48c | 1,377$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.05 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 73c | 1,313$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.5 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 34c | 1,184$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.1 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 61c | 965.99$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.13 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 965.38$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.38 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 37c | 804.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.54 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Under | 62c | 742.07$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…f503backed Over | 66c | 628.8$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…d972backed Under | 39c | 581.57$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 41c | 554.45$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 34c | 545.5$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.03 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 31c | 537.68$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 522.04$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.56 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 43c | 522$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.52 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Under | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 36c | 472.4$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.34 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 65c | 449.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 67c | 446.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 60c | 416$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 34c | 391$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Under | 63c | 384.25$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.08 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 34c | 381.69$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 54c | 368.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.06 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Over | 72c | 351.46$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 48c | 346.69$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.36 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 60c | 340$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 10c | 317.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…7582backed Under | 62c | 307.31$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 42c | 292.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Over | 24c | 289.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Over | 37c | 289$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.37 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 70c | 288.45$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 36c | 288.39$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.42 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 36c | 285$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 39c | 277.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 62c | 275.29$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.68 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 58c | 264.7$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 62c | 261.06$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 249.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 20c | 248.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 40c | 244.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 54c | 229$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 41c | 205.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 50c | 201.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1802backed Under | 37c | 192.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…884cbacked Under | 11c | 190.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 58c | 190.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 45c | 188.05$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 76c | 187.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…e663backed Over | 64c | 187.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 39c | 180.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…40adbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 39c | 152.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 39c | 151.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 147.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 37c | 139.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 429 | 52%223 W · 206 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 31c | 134.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 130.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 44c | 127.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 40c | 125.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Over | 37c | 122.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…4cbcbacked Under | 49c | 121.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Under | 76c | 115.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 64c | 113.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4eadbacked Over | 66c | 109.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5this page
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hungary (-1.5)Hungary won
- Spread: Hungary (-2.5)Kazakhstan won
- Spread: Kazakhstan (-1.5)Hungary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.