Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Hungary (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9c5564d100611045c6e85895aec3ca8aaed63be54616f2bb956bc0e65549001
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hungaryof Hungary, Kazakhstan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kazakhstan | 62c | 5,113$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.86 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Kazakhstan | 7c | 4,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Kazakhstan | 8c | 3,900$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Hungary | 37c | 3,622$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.01 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44f…fff1backed Kazakhstan | 7c | 3,600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kazakhstan | 46c | 2,134$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.8 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…3776backed Kazakhstan | 13c | 1,992$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.81 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hungary | 54c | 1,742$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Kazakhstan | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Kazakhstan | 14c | 1,524$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.58 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Kazakhstan | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Kazakhstan | 77c | 1,297$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…6ae6backed Kazakhstan | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Kazakhstan | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Hungary | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Kazakhstan | 47c | 713.01$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.28 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Hungary | 32c | 617.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.57 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Kazakhstan | 53c | 607.74$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.46 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Hungary | 53c | 563.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.82 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kazakhstan | 47c | 530$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.23 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Kazakhstan | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Kazakhstan | 58c | 418.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.82 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hungary | 21c | 386$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.59 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Hungary | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Hungary | 55c | 333.48$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.51 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…928abacked Hungary | 53c | 315.3$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Hungary | 53c | 300.81$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hungary | 25c | 266.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.18 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Hungary | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Kazakhstan | 53c | 235.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hungary | 55c | 225.26$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.37 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Hungary | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Kazakhstan | 47c | 199.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kazakhstan | 45c | 198.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Hungary | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Kazakhstan | 48c | 192.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Hungary | 55c | 191.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…6aa5backed Hungary | 53c | 189.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Hungary | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Hungary | 31c | 180$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Hungary | 64c | 173.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Hungary | 55c | 171.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Hungary | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Hungary | 58c | 158.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Kazakhstan | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Hungary | 53c | 138$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Hungary | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hungary | 53c | 102.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Kazakhstan | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Hungary | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Hungary | 54c | 77.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hungary | 30c | 77.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Hungary | 54c | 68.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…e8f8backed Kazakhstan | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kazakhstan | 46c | 65.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Hungary | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kazakhstan | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Hungary | 29c | 62.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Kazakhstan | 47c | 60.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…24b8backed Kazakhstan | 68c | 55.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…fe9abacked Hungary | 53c | 54.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Kazakhstan | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Hungary | 47c | 51.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kazakhstan | 47c | 49.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kazakhstan | 74c | 49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kazakhstan | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Kazakhstan | 48c | 44.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed Kazakhstan | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Kazakhstan | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Hungary | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Hungary | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Kazakhstan | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Kazakhstan | 45c | 38.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Hungary | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Hungary | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Hungary | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Kazakhstan | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Kazakhstan | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8a…23d0backed Hungary | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Hungary | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hungary | 46c | 26.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Kazakhstan | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Kazakhstan | 45c | 24.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Kazakhstan | 46c | 23.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Hungary | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Kazakhstan | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…d1d3backed Kazakhstan | 72c | 20.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Kazakhstan | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Hungary | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kazakhstan | 63c | 19.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Kazakhstan | 75c | 15.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Kazakhstan | 70c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hungary (-1.5)this page
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hungary (-2.5)Kazakhstan won
- Spread: Kazakhstan (-1.5)Hungary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.