TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ukraine vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$342,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over44c79,215$34,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,375.531250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c37,702$20,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,856.494,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c4,681$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.643,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under56c4,543$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under58c3,797$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.433138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c2,403$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.781,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Under60c1,381$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.031040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over44c1,315$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.453342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under58c1,219$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.421741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f1…c5f8backed Over44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.36333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under55c999.96$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.987055.7%39 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under56c999$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002835.7%10 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-44.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd88d…f708backed Over45c844.44$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.441118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Under56c714.46$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under56c635.73$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.3736850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.188032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under48c510.1$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.952,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over50c508.27$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.7119935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef85…43e6backed Over45c505.8$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.19966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c475.33$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4450850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over45c450.28$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.896041.7%25 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over53c433.7$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under57c356.68$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.739124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Under57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f3a…c3c8backed Over43c346.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under56c290.79$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Under57c250.88$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over44c249.18$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.542,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Under49c247.38$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under42c239.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007122.5%16 W · 55 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over47c239.02$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6822656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2725532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2212254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over51c196.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7935658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under59c192.57$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6234144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9c…179dbacked Over55c177.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under50c156$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0919946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c151.39$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.351,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff9…365bbacked Under60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under55c144.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under49c133$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1734056.5%192 W · 148 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over46c130.59$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5225554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over66c125.09$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0920067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.953548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over44c116.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.647247.2%34 W · 38 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.646240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c113.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under58c103.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.954025%10 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over46c100.63$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.762339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5646743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5615945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472920.7%6 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-69.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568944.9%40 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c95.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.581,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over42c92.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.557532%24 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3864…a1b8backed Over45c86.2$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.411735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under58c85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.324653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under58c85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.323749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over44c79.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3128964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xedf1…5776backed Under49c77.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385850%29 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over62c76.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.991,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406442.2%27 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over43c69.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8346536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.182642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1810540%42 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.184245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under57c61.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.956237.1%23 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb9b…49a7backed Over44c61.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.984100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+122.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Under56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.64936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under56c57.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over43c57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.511,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x602f…8c64backed Over44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9da…f7d9backed Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.562751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c0…9f76backed Over51c54.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.521163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4625…f7f6backed Under47c52.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-62.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under57c51.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2529138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.627634.2%26 W · 50 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.456048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116a…ed51backed Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.642347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4416544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.218444.6%82 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.045660.7%34 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over51c36.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9815859.5%94 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x742d…83f1backed Over60c34.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under35c34.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.992,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.094725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over56c32.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.174,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15df…c68bbacked Under57c31.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.081553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e083backed Over43c29.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.094100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+130.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd13…62fbbacked Over40c28.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfad0…63dfbacked Under56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0148…b61cbacked Under57c26.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.