Fifa International · resolved market
Ukraine vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c9bd0b603a6d1d9e978b645812a2c50c8811212ea95ee26e292f1e22f426a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4ad…d21fbacked Under | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33c…5a13backed Under | 29c | 671$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 645.83$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.41 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 11c | 569.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…ce36backed Under | 29c | 550$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 71c | 493.2$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.2 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Over | 71c | 459$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…2bd8backed Over | 71c | 375$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…fee1backed Over | 71c | 370$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Over | 70c | 355.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 343.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…c7c4backed Over | 71c | 330$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 23c | 320.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…4be3backed Over | 71c | 296$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d74…7a3ebacked Over | 71c | 290$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 29c | 274.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 274.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 20c | 270$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…50e5backed Over | 71c | 260$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +292.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…1144backed Under | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 31c | 240.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 31c | 148.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 71c | 140.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…63d7backed Under | 31c | 134$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 69c | 133.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…8322backed Over | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 31c | 126.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 70c | 125.77$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…17bcbacked Over | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…09a8backed Over | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e9…9ed3backed Over | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 70c | 108.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 76c | 106.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…6c99backed Under | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…365bbacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Under | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…b89ebacked Over | 70c | 75.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 31c | 70.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…a7a2backed Over | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee9…a01abacked Over | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…92debacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…fb6fbacked Over | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Over | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 117 | 75.2%88 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 70c | 38.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 29c | 34.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed Over | 77c | 27.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…b1b4backed Over | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…0616backed Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…6dc9backed Over | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 80c | 22.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ukraine vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5this page
- Ukraine vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ukraine vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ukraine vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Over won
- Ukraine vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.