Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36e1934b8494e713afe6b1390dc1ec066328b9b2f1a47b3cb219987c709b516e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1. FSV Mainz 05of 1. FSV Mainz 05, SK Sigma Olomouc
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 38c | 9,900$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,137.96 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 62c | 9,830$6,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,053.45 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.38 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SK Sigma Olomouc | 61c | 1,848$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.82 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…5b74backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 40c | 1,473$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…caeebacked SK Sigma Olomouc | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 49c | 824.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.58 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 38c | 736.48$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 43c | 685.45$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.11 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 30c | 623.37$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.06 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 35c | 573.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.93 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 54c | 406.69$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.69 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 42c | 394.22$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SK Sigma Olomouc | 51c | 325.62$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 73c | 304.26$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 38c | 263.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 39c | 256.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 47c | 254.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.43 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked SK Sigma Olomouc | 54c | 161.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 49c | 155.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 45c | 74.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 240 | 49.2%118 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 63c | 65.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 40c | 64.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…49a7backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 63c | 57.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 40c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +75%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 38c | 48.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 61c | 46.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 51c | 42.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 59c | 40.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 55c | 38.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 38c | 36.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 35c | 34.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 47c | 34.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 48c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 54c | 30.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 58c | 29.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 50c | 27.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 63c | 25.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 48c | 24.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…b7a7backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 53c | 22.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked SK Sigma Olomouc | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed SK Sigma Olomouc | 70c | 20.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)this page
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 2.5Under won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SK Sigma Olomouc (-2.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.