Europa Conference League · resolved market
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x028663f9f7dd93fc2341d2fb848e2adc661585dea211e63cf31c4eb8c50ddef9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,081$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.52 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 17c | 908.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.18 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…d5a8backed No | 78c | 187$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 127.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 53c | 126.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 20c | 123.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 82.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…2fbfbacked Yes | 42c | 80.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 80.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 43c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 61c | 24.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 2.5Under won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
- Spread: SK Sigma Olomouc (-2.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.