TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,599 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over43c50,963$21,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,773.871145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c17,174$11,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,995.73,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under56c12,593$7,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,541.082951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over45c5,122$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.895448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under55c4,959$2,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.551154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c4,562$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.382,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under56c4,494$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.34966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+47.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Under55c4,444$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.781275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.976858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under54c3,999$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.733151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under57c3,327$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.5315947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3508124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under57c2,974$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.9338247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.863154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4868…c8d1backed Over46c2,232$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32e5…8b41backed Under55c2,003$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over46c1,741$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Over45c1,731$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.163557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Over12c1,600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Over44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over44c1,129$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.736219.4%12 W · 50 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-57.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over44c1,085$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.5691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under56c1,072$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.521154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over46c1,033$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.1811242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over44c999.93$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.978946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c990$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.092142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c0…1f1cbacked Under55c807.27$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under57c763$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.092356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over18c695.39$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.17120%0 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under56c599.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2645856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over37c546.36$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.955540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202540%10 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4338453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under57c402.66$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.148355.4%46 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over46c400.63$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1843221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Over22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under56c366.94$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7621835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under57c355$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6513149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under53c334.02$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9943344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1386331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over41c299.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.994537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over19c269.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.34136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1349…359bbacked Over46c267.14$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.941040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under57c249.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.51,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over46c240.01$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over36c234.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over39c230$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.32536%9 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over44c220$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.85554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ec…ae94backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73b…c3e9backed Over20c202.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.322035%7 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under56c195.4$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5988048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under59c193.27$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1414963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c1f…01abbacked Over16c190.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Under63c187.84$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.921154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Under55c182.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.219546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Under56c178.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.892133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c172.91$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.471,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaec…f856backed Under57c169.79$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over46c167.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.034151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under54c163$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9818049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb567…4d4abacked Over12c154.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under54c153.02$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.864153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under55c145.1$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.13655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2c…ac71backed Over45c145$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ea…08a4backed Under56c136.06$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Over46c130.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.134841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over25c128$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1479…b778backed Under55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.272450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under57c126.4$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.359048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3469…3676backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over23c124.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.833522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Under56c122.54$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.192254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.63050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Over45c119.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.22450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf423…8b65backed Over45c119.07$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe513…d6e5backed Over46c117.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f5a…2a37backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed Under56c109.08$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.074100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+141.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over46c108.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0206…08adbacked Over46c102.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.14854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c14…ec94backed Over19c98.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over34c97.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.061520%3 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over40c93.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.459222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over45c92.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.763633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Under56c89.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.361650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.