TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,335 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c23,966$12,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,268.353,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over44c3,468$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.922055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over72c2,780$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.585653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6253033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Over68c2,462$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.73360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over17c2,308$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c1,705$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.8691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over70c1,428$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.591478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+33.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over38c1,360$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.394136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over73c1,043$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.3511242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c945.71$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.872,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over18c559.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over46c549.63$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.436219.4%12 W · 50 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-57.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407829.5%23 W · 55 L-11.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb1ca…d09cbacked Over71c448.3$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over73c411.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Under29c378.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.083522.9%8 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over27c372$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb29…3bc6backed Under29c354.08$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…fa2fbacked Over72c340.28$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-74.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under28c334.97$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.1838247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over24c321.76$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4221835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over24c312.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.89150%0 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over40c305.31$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.855558.2%32 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over44c265.91$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1172330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over4c258.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.033050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0aa4…ea76backed Over72c250$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick74cpaid-54.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over5c226.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.313732.4%12 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+69%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over44c215.07$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.631936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over71c199.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.991747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd576…2c4bbacked Over71c193.9$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c183.76$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9813040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over33c176$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.462536%9 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over13c172.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.971030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+59.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x840e…40fabacked Over71c160.18$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c3…8e29backed Over46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over30c151$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.523949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over72c139.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Over72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over45c137.09$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.64339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over27c134.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8533522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over56c132.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6114641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under27c130.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over46c129.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over44c124.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.65554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under45c122.29$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.874663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c121.36$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4152243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over55c117.9$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over70c113.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over55c110.35$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Over53c109.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.281127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over65c107$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.551526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick56cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Over19c104.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc4…e31bbacked Over73c102.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under60c100.7$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0917835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb992…0838backed Over72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick62cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under53c99.26$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8417956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under28c90$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.41,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over72c83.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501520%3 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Over35c78.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over37c75.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1314963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over73c75.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under28c72.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0888048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under28c71.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.811,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under29c70.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.16056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Over70c69.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.913161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over72c69.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over72c69.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501580%12 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under29c69.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.232454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…d470backed Over69c68.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed Under36c64.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.981553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9675…30cbbacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5617…38fcbacked Over66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under32c55.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdefb…79afbacked Over46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under48c52.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.117055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f6…8160backed Over36c51.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2f…a3d8backed Under34c51.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.561020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-54.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under32c50.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6517249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c69…4622backed Over59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Over21c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.353212.5%4 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-66.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over47c49.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.395248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over26c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.481855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under28c47.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7116856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0718…fccebacked Over26c47.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.