Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2514f5ed8a5de3ec10ce7c1081f940751b70c58d8bd63a7d6fc03425767478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panathinaikós AOof Real Betis Balompié, Panathinaikós AO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,194 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panathinaikós AO | 79c | 8,431$6,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.94 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Real Betis Balompié | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Panathinaikós AO | 78c | 2,697$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.34 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Real Betis Balompié | 22c | 1,907$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.99 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 1,258$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.61 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 15c | 699.76$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Real Betis Balompié | 19c | 502.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 399.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Real Betis Balompié | 20c | 305$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Real Betis Balompié | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Panathinaikós AO | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Real Betis Balompié | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Real Betis Balompié | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 181.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41fb…b6b0backed Real Betis Balompié | 21c | 157.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadb…9e7dbacked Real Betis Balompié | 14c | 155.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Panathinaikós AO | 80c | 152.12$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Panathinaikós AO | 80c | 137.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Real Betis Balompié | 18c | 120.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Real Betis Balompié | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…d2b5backed Real Betis Balompié | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Real Betis Balompié | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Real Betis Balompié | 20c | 95.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Real Betis Balompié | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -63%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Panathinaikós AO | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Real Betis Balompié | 19c | 84.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 20c | 74.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Real Betis Balompié | 17c | 72.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Real Betis Balompié | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Real Betis Balompié | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Real Betis Balompié | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Panathinaikós AO | 76c | 32.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Panathinaikós AO | 76c | 31.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Panathinaikós AO | 80c | 31.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Panathinaikós AO | 78c | 25.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Panathinaikós AO | 79c | 22.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)this page
- Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Panathinaikós AO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.