TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,792 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No51c19,813$10,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,192.263,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9610960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.342369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked No48c8,333$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Yes53c7,738$4,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,636.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes50c6,800$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,396.1133349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c6,423$3,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,401.6484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8203145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes51c5,885$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.623836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No47c5,025$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.0825157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c4,854$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.552,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Yes52c4,800$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes55c3,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.789954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.61662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No56c2,055$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.3435158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No48c1,990$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.183641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Yes52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.071471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No48c1,880$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9103250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes50c1,607$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.343956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+57.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes39c1,576$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.024235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes52c1,561$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+64.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c1,528$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.4131849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes52c1,331$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.8438247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No55c1,272$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9476941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes55c1,085$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.454537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes54c999.93$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.971233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Yes53c999.89$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.951258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No48c995$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.62958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No48c961.38$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.5421835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Yes54c929.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.051338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3871070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed No48c791.67$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3705343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No49c700$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3416558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes32c697.44$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.364228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes53c660.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.3810757%61 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No48c659.72$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.0520048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed No48c624.45$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.723655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Yes49c609.65$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c565.61$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes29c520$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.24136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No50c504$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcc…c7dabacked Yes51c491.42$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Yes43c463.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick40cpaid+65.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes51c444$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.568947.2%42 W · 47 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes53c413.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7288048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803450%17 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Yes53c392.31$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No48c387.1$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9455545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Yes52c384.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…3b62backed Yes54c362.57$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e84…21c1backed Yes54c319.15$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1389142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes51c299.98$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.996331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.123455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes54c280.75$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.714643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked No44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No52c262.04$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1364153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No47c258.8$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.782,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes47c254.15$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.154858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes53c250.54$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.877750.6%39 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Yes35c249.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.492548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed No47c249.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.492425%6 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No52c247.66$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1514963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes54c232$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7231842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes51c220$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.662161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+53.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No46c208.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Yes49c207.14$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89fe…8d55backed Yes51c201$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9820056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked No51c194.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.281662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb71c…9fc7backed Yes53c194.21$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No47c190.6$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.417851.3%40 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a938backed Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc60c…cff8backed No48c186$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa580…a6febacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…009fbacked No47c181$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb629…407abacked No47c179$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb070…44b5backed No48c178$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…f31abacked No48c171$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes51c170.12$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3612955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No50c160.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.323444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3719…c286backed No47c156$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x106e…c56bbacked No48c151$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…1195backed No48c151$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed No49c150.96$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9512…a3d7backed Yes51c145.1$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2496…94e7backed Yes53c145.02$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba3…b346backed No48c142$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9827…d8fcbacked No48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No52c139.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1517956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.