Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb08404751070037fd56bb103d24a48677a4f834421da84b46b3c8524596ddf4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,352 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 4,997$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.69 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 4,305$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.67 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 19c | 3,878$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.66 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 10c | 2,188$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.42 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 20c | 1,110$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.68 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 21c | 923.76$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.74 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 915.87$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.73 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 78c | 736.68$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…4880backed No | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 439.81$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 6c | 428.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 79c | 398.74$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 22c | 357.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 78c | 300$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…fcaebacked Yes | 24c | 293.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7c…b179backed Yes | 22c | 288.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01e…455abacked No | 78c | 288.46$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f75…7233backed No | 79c | 279.51$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…1fd8backed Yes | 21c | 279.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 21c | 276.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Yes | 49c | 212$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 11c | 190.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 21c | 162.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 12c | 162.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 10c | 154.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 21c | 136.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed Yes | 20c | 128.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 21c | 126.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…f383backed Yes | 22c | 121$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 21c | 112.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Yes | 22c | 111.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 78c | 110.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 21c | 108.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 103$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…6072backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +174%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed No | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 79c | 74.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes | 21c | 69.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…1f0fbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…1867backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 78c | 62.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed Yes | 22c | 60.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 26c | 52.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…0a8abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ac…8f0cbacked No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed No | 79c | 37.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 80c | 31.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51e…441abacked No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…6164backed No | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a4…5109backed No | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 79c | 16.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked No | 80c | 14.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa end in a draw?No won
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.