TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,589 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c22,362$10,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,404.6617557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over51c11,618$5,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9255438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over51c8,771$4,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,47310246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c4,495$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.594,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over49c2,681$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.349550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over53c1,889$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over55c1,609$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.15812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-75.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under49c1,203$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.6414258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c1,079$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.336,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over31c696.86$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.453237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under66c607.48$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.131,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under46c550.37$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.376852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c501.19$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.831,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under71c422.27$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.278445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c399.64$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.972,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Over62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1862347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under63c299.98$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.994143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011969.7%83 W · 36 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Over65c208.54$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.551662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0822242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10155654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…7f3fbacked Over56c169.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over29c167.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c121.16$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.682,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under49c106.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.135457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under49c104.14$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.095561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3759645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c97.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.713347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.41,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under72c87.97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.041,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c87.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5375850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over42c82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.681428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb9b…49a7backed Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over27c66.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9473258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over53c65.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.588342.2%35 W · 48 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under49c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6474156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Under50c60.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.011957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6baa…b85fbacked Under50c52.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611433.3%38 W · 76 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Under28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3645224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5279…a8dbbacked Over25c49.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over49c49.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.252744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Over51c47.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.253441.2%14 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+125.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Over51c46.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over49c44.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.84562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c42.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.391,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over55c41.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7311053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.42040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbffd…38f6backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over79c37.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012968.2%88 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3317…166abacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Under50c34.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.321752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb521…6cf9backed Over52c34.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7320…89bcbacked Over51c29.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x449f…780abacked Over52c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f1…d393backed Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cc…e464backed Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf324…289dbacked Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89d0…931dbacked Under49c24.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc6…592ebacked Over52c24.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x712b…595abacked Over51c24.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f40…5a7fbacked Over51c24.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf94c…846cbacked Over52c24.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29fd…9896backed Over51c24.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed Over51c24.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.261241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x547d…a1b8backed Over52c23.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over52c23.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3615949.1%78 W · 81 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4cc…e8bdbacked Over51c23.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1e…57f2backed Over52c23.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e9…cdf1backed Over52c23.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e9…db66backed Over52c23.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Over51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe2…e6bcbacked Under48c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbfc…f835backed Under49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeac5…273ebacked Under48c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5656…1cf0backed Under48c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca4d…4693backed Under49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38d5…dab5backed Under49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…a918backed Over52c22.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e9…3458backed Over52c22.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ad…41dbbacked Under50c22.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36fb…c550backed Over51c22.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2755…94b9backed Over53c22.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3143…1f11backed Over51c22.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2229644.6%132 W · 164 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8c…370bbacked Under48c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.