Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3196997459d84f282307c2eb26e08776757f3a76e3d6a89a07f480f7b6416595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 5,243$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.3 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 2,882$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Over | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 14c | 1,278$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.33 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…5e13backed Under | 5c | 900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 23c | 770.83$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.43 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3c90backed Under | 26c | 678.19$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…1415backed Over | 74c | 678.19$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 76c | 657.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.11 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 651.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.12 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 24c | 519.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 15c | 402.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 322.81$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.35 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 222.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 38c | 210$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 202.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 65c | 155$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 54c | 106.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…ed84backed Under | 41c | 96.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 23c | 68.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 61c | 65.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 24c | 52.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Under | 25c | 43.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 44c | 42.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…ca48backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 31c | 33.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 66c | 28.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 72c | 26.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…e943backed Over | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 48c | 24.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 48c | 24.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…0e52backed Over | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 79c | 14.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.